Redfield has credibility as a virologist. As an agency head or educator of the public...
However, the 40% could well be correct (but counterintuitive) if MD has done a good job of vaccinating the vulnerable.* As explained in this post in that thread:
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4004928/posts?page=12#12
*This would tend to be confirmed by low case and fatality rates, compared to the previous (non-Delta) wave, which MD has. (MD appears to be exiting their Delta wave, or, “close enough” — this doesn’t work on the way up.)
The people for whom I get information come out of a, on average, moderately poorly vaccinated population. Maybe 50% vacc rate.
Gotta head out, but, I suggest you run the numbers yourself as an exercise: Assume a population of 1 million, 90% vaccinated, a 1:10 CFR ratio for vaccinated vs. unvaccinated persons, and whatever case rate you like. (10% is convenient.) How does that work out? ;-)
Thanks Paul.