IL-13 looks like a worm and IL-17 is particularly shameless in its efforts to grab any urban core throughout NW and north central Illinois to keep it from flipping GOP.
Some of the posters on the RRH Elections Blog have thrown in their two cents on the new map for what its worth:
“IL-06, 11, and 17 still look weak. Once again, relying on just 2020 numbers is a recipe for disaster.”
“[IL-06] is interesting because it combines right trending but Dem downballot turf in Cook Co with some left trending but historically Republican towns with residudal Republican downballot strength (Downers Grove, Lisle, and Darien especially).”
https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2021/10/22/weekend-open-thread-for-october-22-24-2021/
I think that that map would give the RATs a 14-3 House delegation and that it gives the RATs a good chance of holding all 14 seats for the entire decade. It does provide the GOP with several opportunities for later in the decade, but that could not be avoided if they were to draw 14 RAT seats (or 12 RAT seats, for that matter. And combining traditionally Republican, but left-trending suburban precincts with traditionally Democrat, but right-trending urban precincts is precisely how they should go about drawing seats that will stay Democrat whether IL voting patterns continue down the same path or return to the pre-Obama paradigm.
Those leftist douchebags should be happy, especially compared to the last map which gave us a real chance at winning 6 this year.
I could never get “Microsoft Silverlight” to work so I could use the fabled “Dave’s Redistricting App” but I can’t see how they could make a worse (better for them) map. With only 3 safe GOP seats there is no way to make the 17th any worse.
The 11th and 6th each gave 47% to Erica Harold in 2018 but given the configuration of the new 3rd, again I don’t see how they could be improved for the rats other than say ridiculous little tendrils into Chicago or something.
I feel worst for the new rural voters stuck with Robin Kelly.