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To: lightman

16 posted on 04/12/2021 7:12:56 PM PDT by OneVike (Just another Christian waiting to go home)
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To: OneVike
Two problems with the chart. The nursing home figure is deaths divided by total home population, not deaths divided by cases, so the survivability for that group is considerably OVERSTATED. The correct figure for deaths/cases in nursing home is around 20-25%

The total death per case figure is accurate -- reported as about 1.7% -- but the age group figures are understated, especially for the older group because

(1) the chart divides the deaths in the age group by the TOTAL number of cases, not the number of cases in the age group. This means that the survival for the sub 65s is overstated a bit (because about 80% of CASES are in under 65s)

but for the over 65s it is considerably overstated, because less than 20% of the CASES are over 65.

(2) The other BIG problem is that the chart has less than 70% of deaths are over 65, and the correct figure is right at 80% If you use the right figures, the survivability for over 65s is a lot less.

I agree that taking the vaccine should be an individual choice, and the younger and healthier you are the balance may tip against it. But it is not helpful to way understate the risk of COVID for older groups, and the risk if you do get infected rises exponentially as you pass 75 and then 85. The death/cases rate for people over 85 is about 20+%

22 posted on 04/13/2021 10:30:33 AM PDT by BohDaThone ( )
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