Michigan is showing a very strong 4th wave, and a number of northeastern states a slight (so far) 4th wave. The rest of the country, including all the least restrictive states, is not yet showing it.
Michigan has shown an increase in cases since the last week of February. Daily death averages during that period have only rise from 16 per day average to 25 per day. As I said further up in the thread, there may be some transient increases in cases in some regions, but the overall effect will be muted and deaths will not significantly increase again.
Its a third wave. We are the worst state in the country and the five worst metro areas are all in Michigan.