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The Mathematics of Countering Tyranny
Survival Blog ^ | May 15, 2018 | JAMES WESLEY RAWLES

Posted on 03/26/2021 4:05:20 PM PDT by skimbell

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TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2018; banglist; bloggers; blogpimp; learnhowtopost; oldnews; tyranny
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I ran across this today at Free North Carolina. I've seen it before (it's from 5/2018) but I read it again and I believe that it is more germane now than it was then.

Pretty good description of what we could be looking at in a full blow government attempt to confiscate civilian weapons. They asked that the article not be excerpted so you'd need to go to the site-SurvivalBlog.com.

I think that it was worth the time.

YMMV.

1 posted on 03/26/2021 4:05:20 PM PDT by skimbell
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To: skimbell

Thank you. Excellent analysis and good counsels. Gun grabbers will fail, easily.


2 posted on 03/26/2021 4:16:25 PM PDT by Falconspeed ("Keep your fears to yourself, but share your courage with others." Robert Louis Stevenson.)
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To: Falconspeed

Lots of tragic boating accidents, huh?


3 posted on 03/26/2021 4:21:55 PM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: skimbell

Interesting read.


4 posted on 03/26/2021 4:45:09 PM PDT by stockpirate (Where Justice Ends Tyranny Begins...Repression Breeds Violence. REBELLION AGAINST TYRANNY )
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To: skimbell

bkmk


5 posted on 03/26/2021 4:45:21 PM PDT by sauropod (Chance favors the prepared mind.)
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To: skimbell

No


6 posted on 03/26/2021 5:01:10 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: skimbell

Many of the comments are prescient. They knew eventually we’d have a radical leftist in the WH and the progressives would do whatever they could to get their way, laws be damned. And 3 short years later...here we are.


7 posted on 03/26/2021 5:12:51 PM PDT by Prince of Space (Irish lives matter!)
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To: skimbell

Americans won’t do anything. They’ll gladly hand over their weapons.

The Founding Fathers threw tea into the Boston Harbor over a 3% tax. They started a war because the British wanted to take their firearms.

We failed to uphold our part.


8 posted on 03/26/2021 5:30:05 PM PDT by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: skimbell; Noumenon

A little more math.

Let’s say there’s on the order of 100 million firearms owners in this country.

Then let’s further conjecture that in the event of a ban/confiscation 99.99% of those firearms owners either “turn them in” or bury them in the back yard, never to again see the light of day.

That leaves 10,000 non-compliers.

Then let’s conjecture 99% of those non-compliers go out in the proverbial blaze of glory.

That leaves 100 guys, highly-motivated and likely highly-skilled, to resist in the manner described in the original linked article.

Then, dust-off your foggy memories and remember how much chaos two guys with an old beater of a car and an AR-15, firing one shot at a time, caused in the Virginia/Maryland/DC area about 20 years ago.

Remember also how much chaos ONE rogue/pissed-off cop caused in the LA area a decade-or-so ago.

Then ask yourself if my estimates of how many would take themselves out of the fight are unrealistically high.

Let that stew around in your mind for a while.

John Ross claimed in Unintended Consequences that the IRA never had more than about 200 active fighters, in a country the size of Ireland, an island nation.

And they kept the country in turmoil for decades.


9 posted on 03/26/2021 5:45:34 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring

But they did not post stuff on the internet.

A word to the wise.


10 posted on 03/26/2021 6:40:46 PM PDT by old curmudgeon
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To: skimbell

Thank you for the link. Good read.

Only one assumption that is incorrect. The statement:

“It bears mention that the military would be mostly out of the picture, since they are banned from domestic law enforcement roles, under the Posse Comitatus Act.”

The Posse Comitatus Act will be jettisoned prior to any confiscation orders. And as we are seeing today, the US military of tomorrow will more than gladly participate as the “Door Kickers” stated in the story. Most likely they will do it gladly as they will be brainwashed to the point of hating Conservatives, gun owners, the religious, etc...

The military of tomorrow will have no qualms about bombing entire neighborhoods, rolling Abram tanks into towns and wholesale murder tens and hundreds of thousands (or millions) of Americans. (”You can’t make an omelet without breaking a few eggs” as the old commie saying goes). When you have a leading member of the House Intelligence committee threaten gun owners with nuclear weapons ... you know that they will have the military in their pocket.

That is the one flaw in the article.


11 posted on 03/26/2021 6:46:06 PM PDT by CapnJack ( )
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To: skimbell; All
It is a stupid analysis.

There will be no massive house to house confiscations.

Why would they do that? It would spark mass resistance.

They would play the generational game, like they have in England.

The guns are illegal.

They are hidden.

When one surfaces and is made known to federal authorities, a warrant is made out and the gun confiscated and the person arrested.

Over the next two generations, more and more guns are made illegal.

50 years from now, our great grandkids turn in any guns they find, grateful a kind police are willing to accept them without a penalty.

12 posted on 03/26/2021 8:03:05 PM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: DuncanWaring; All
John Ross claimed in Unintended Consequences that the IRA never had more than about 200 active fighters, in a country the size of Ireland, an island nation.

And they kept the country in turmoil for decades.

Unfortunately, our opponents *want* our country in turmoil.

It is how they win.

It is how the Chinese become the predominant world power.

13 posted on 03/26/2021 8:05:04 PM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: marktwain

There will be no massive house to house confiscations.

Why would they do that? It would spark mass resistance.


Hmmmm......where have we heard THIS, before, in history. πŸ€”


14 posted on 03/26/2021 8:05:37 PM PDT by Jane Long (America, Bless God....blessed be the Nation πŸ™πŸ»πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ)
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To: Jane Long
Hmmmm......where have we heard THIS, before, in history. πŸ€”

England.

France.

Germany.

Japan.

Venezuela.

Cuba.

The Philippines

To name a few...

15 posted on 03/26/2021 8:09:38 PM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: marktwain

New Orleans


16 posted on 03/26/2021 8:29:41 PM PDT by Nailbiter
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To: CapnJack

There will be a civil war within the military if that is ever attempted.


17 posted on 03/26/2021 8:32:04 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: skimbell

While the math all makes sense, I think the author is making some unwarranted assumptions about how the attack on our guns will progress and the forms it will take

And because of the way it’s going to be done I think he’s also making unwarranted assumptions about the willingness of people to start shooting.


18 posted on 03/26/2021 8:44:48 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s.....you weren't really there..)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
Exactly correct.

There is the possibility, however, our opponents *want* to spark a civil war or hot insurrection.

They may *want* to destroy the United States.

Many power elites around the world would love that outcome.

19 posted on 03/26/2021 8:50:42 PM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: marktwain

Unfortunately, there’s no rational rebuttal to your assertions.


20 posted on 03/27/2021 5:54:47 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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