I just don’t see the benefit for China to fight over Taiwan.
Do they want the huge wheat fields?
They’re willing to cause death and destruction because they got their feelings hurt?
> I just don’t see the benefit for China to fight over Taiwan. <
As I noted in my post #48, China has good reasons for wanting to invade Taiwan. But even if the US stands down, I’d have to think we’d stop all trade with China. Plus we’d seize all Chinese assets in the US.
Now here’s the wild card. How long would such a response last? The Chinese might gamble that with Biden/Harris, that response might last only for a brief period of time.
If the Chinese take Taiwan, they will consolidate control of the entire China Sea, the shipping lanes, the oil reserves; they will be in a position to refuse our Navy the ability to navigate in the area, neutralizing much of our presence in the Asian Pacific; and will gain huge leverage over Japan, who will consider it an existential threat and be pressured to come to terms with China at the expense of our alliance. . This is not about hurt feelings or “face’ or pride. This is about the Chinese drive to be the dominant world superpower. They are developing a blue water navy, with control of the western Pacific as their goal.
This is why Trump was wisely encouraging the quadrilateral “arrangement,”
with Australia Japan and India. He correctly perceived that China’s intentions are potentially lethal to the civilized world. Sadly, I see no reason to believe that the Biden regime will do anything to stop them, and neither do the Chinese; and that is why an actual military action has become far more likely than it would have been even six months ago.
Yes. They’re willing to go to war to “save face”, which in their view is threatened by the existence of a “competing” government.