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There won’t be a single Republican vote to convict Trump in the Senate

You are right a lot more than you are wrong, but I believe there are six GOP votes to convict and another 10-20 that would do it if they could get away with it.

That might have been true (in terms of the six votes to convict) two weeks ago, but not anymore. And nobody cares how many would vote to convict if they could get away with it. The GOP voters despise their party because we recognize that they’re feckless liars.

Kevin McCarthy would have WALKED from California to visit Trump in Florida, if Trump had demanded it.

I’ll tell you something else that will be remembered as a major turning point in the 2021 political landscape: that anti-Cheney rally in Wyoming a few days ago. Think of the optics there. You had Matt Gaetz, a prominent House member from Florida, traveling two thousand miles away to Wyoming ... to tell another House member who holds a leadership post IN THE SAME PARTY to get the hell out of office and go away.

I am sure that sentiment is multiplied millions of times over among Trump’s supporters. These GOP leaders aren’t afraid of Trump starting a third party. They fully recognize that Trump would be starting a SECOND party ... and the Republican Party would be finished as a political force.

Against Rand's vote call on Tuesday, only one of the 20 GOP Senators up for re-election in 2022 voted to hold the Senate Trial.

Shelby - NO
Murkowski - Yea
Boozman - NO
Rubio - NO
Crapo - NO
Young - NO
Grassley - NO
Moran - NO
Paul - NO
Kennedy - NO
Blunt - NO
Burr - NO
Hoeven - NO
Portman - NO
Lankford - NO
Toomey (retiring, empty seat) - Yea
Scott - NO
Thune - NO
Lee - NO
Johnson - NO

But hey, you can get some of what you like at BetFair where there are long odds for 55+; and where I bought "No" at even money before Rand's vote drove it down to 1-10.