If you look at the trend it appears that Ohio regionally is at herd immunity. Cases falling and it appears to be right on the 72 day cycle.
That’s the thing, both the rises and the falls appear to be regional in effect. It suggests evidence that both *ends* of the argument are flawed: The disease shuts itself off regionally by surging strongly enough that it forms a nearly closed cell, but doesn’t exhaust itself completely, so it leaks to new cells sequentially. The infectiousness of the disease is such that the size of the ‘leak’ isn’t a dominant factor.
i get daily updates for Cleveland, a city of about 400,000. For weeks on end, we get maybe 100-200 hundred new cases per day, and zero deaths to maybe one once a week. That’s all. i wonder if it is any different in other cities here, Cleveland has no reason to be an exception.
Hi. Can you elaborate on how you identify the beginning and end of the 72 days cycles?
Thanks.
>>If you look at the trend it appears that Ohio regionally is at herd immunity.<<
Hardly. They might be approaching herd immunity, but being “at herd immunity” implies that no new cases are arising because everyone who has it is surrounded by those who already have immunity. When they’re over it, it’s done with.
That’s clearly not the case yet in Ohio.