We’re expecting another batch of votes out of Arizona sometime between 10:30 and 11:00 PM MT.
Until then, hang tight.— The Election Wizard🧙♂️ (@Wizard_Predicts) November 5, 2020
Posted on 11/04/2020 9:01:45 PM PST by conservative98
FiveThirtyEight election forecaster Nate Silver called on Fox News and the Associated Press to retract their early projections that Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden would win the state of Arizona, saying that the race is getting very tight.
The remark from Silver comes after more votes were counted in Maricopa County which caused Biden’s lead over Trump to shrink.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailywire.com ...
We’re expecting another batch of votes out of Arizona sometime between 10:30 and 11:00 PM MT.
Until then, hang tight.— The Election Wizard🧙♂️ (@Wizard_Predicts) November 5, 2020
Michigan shows Trump ahead as well:
Updated every 10 minutes:
https://mielections.us/election/results/2020GEN_CENR.html
ping
Wayne County not in those totals.
Unfortunately, _not_ updated.
There are several threads here addressing this topic.
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics) and elections (see psephology). He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC News.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver
Trump needs Georgia 16, North Carolina 15, Pennsylvania 20
He is up in all right now.
That is 51 for his score. 214 + 51 = 265
If he gets Michigan 16 he wins - 281
Map https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment
Trump needs to win these 2 states otherwise.
Biden is slightly up - Nevada 6, Wisconsin 10
Hover mouse over states at https://abcnews.go.com
He is also an ass who said over five times in the 2016 election that Trump “had peaked” after various fake news events.
As a statistician, he is far more stupid than anyone on this board.
Keep it positive
l8r
“Wayne County not in those totals.”
Are they waiting to see what they need to overcome Trump’s lead? What are you saying?
‘
I just checked 3 websites - all show Biden ahead in Arizona
The Republican Senate protected Biden in Ukraine and China - and on Impeachment, because they could’ve showed Trump should have been concerned, but the Republican Senate protected Biden for this Victory.
‘
https://mielections.us/election/results/2020GEN_CENR.html has not been updated “every ten minutes”. Right now, it hasn’t been updated since 11:20 p.m. That’s an hour ago.
That is where all of those funny ballots were found that were all for Biden if I recall correctly. I am so tired right now I cannot think straight.
The SOS of AZ website shows Biden got somewhat less than 100,000 votes less than Trump. I hope the Trump organization is going to contest this. I smell an AZ rat.
As a statistician he is d*mn good. While people may complain about his model’s projection, a projection is only as good as the data one feeds in, and the data he uses are the polls.
He also, from time to time, goes beyond analyzing data. Admittedly on that he is not always great, and he rarely realizes except in hindsight that he has done so, and he who is without sin can start chucking rocks at him now.
Someone there is panicking. They have a lot of fraudulent / questionable ballots ready to be counted, but they are now under very close scrutiny. Trump's got 100 lawyers there asking questions.
He is terrible at statistics. He can’t even understand that the foundation of the polls is skewed by looking at the public information they provide.
We bought his book five years ago. It reads well, but he’s truly ignorant on the basics of polling, which makes all of his models and opining wrong. He KNOWS he’s saying the wrong things because he has to eat his words time and time, again.
This is yet another series of such occasions.
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