I don’t see why a fairly narrow Pres loss and fairly narrow House lose would be inconsistent. Trump won I think every seat we’ve gained for sure. Your ticket splitting winners this year are Maine, Collins wins! Rat in CD-2 wins despite Trump winning it, ugh, and Nebraska-2 easy Biden win and GOP House hold against a Bernie Sanders nut
We’ll probably be around 210. Well all is said and done the numbers of split districts might end up as a record low.
I am not that thrilled with this House result though, this was in play all along and we were out-raised and RNC so scared of losing more (which wasn’t gonna happen cause Biden was never up 10 or even 5) with rat incumbents looking so tough and full of cash that we had to spend everything on defense.
Except of course Kim Klatick and Lara Loomer who raised a ton of money in safe rat seats, ridiculous.
The defense appears to have been highly successful though (betting Trump carried almost all of them though), they even missed their #2/1a target in TX-23. Rats targeted a ton of seats. Aside from the two gerrymandered stolen seats in NC which were no hopers (uhhhhhhhhhhhg!!!!!!!!!!) It does appear that GA-7 which was their #1 target, CA-25, taking back a seat we won back in a special (not over), and and maybe AZ-6 (we’ve taken the lead!) could be their only pickups.
Looking at Charlie Cook’s Hoiuse ratings, he had Chabot’s OH-01 as a toss-up; Chabot won by 7% (27,500 votes), a larger victory margin in votes than what Democrat Tim Ryan had in the supposedly “safe Democrat” OH-13, which had been drawn by Republicans as a “Democrat vote sink.” Bishop in the supposedly only “lean Republican” NC-09 won by more votes than did former Congressional Black Caucus chairman G.K. Butterfield in the NC-01 (also “safe Democrat”).
GOP candidates already have won one “Likely Democrat” seat and have a shot of winning 2 or 3 others (and several ithers were very close as well). GOP candidates have won or are ahead in 8 of the 18 “Lean Democrat” seats (it was 9 until Spangenberg took the lead in VA-07), and have won or are ahead in 25 of the 27 “tossup” districts (all but UT-04 and CA-25, both of which could end up going our way). Meanwhile, the only “Lean Republican” or “Likely Republican” seats that could give us a victory by less than 5% is CA-50 (Issa, in Hunter’s vacated CD), but he’ll likely win by more than that when all the votes are counted.
I would congratulate the GOP for so greatly exceeding expectations, but that would assume that the Leftist wishful thinking that Charlie Cook spews as “election analysis” comprised reasonable expectations.