Posted on 11/03/2020 8:21:26 AM PST by BenghaziMemoriam
Two teams of researchers in Switzerland say their data models
based on search frequency and speech analysis forecast a win
for Republican President Donald Trump in the US elections on
Tuesday. Both teams’ models predicted Trump’s 2016 victory.
...
The teams’ outlooks for the 2020 presidential race stand at odds
with widespread polling that shows the Democratic challenger,
former Vice President Joe Biden, out in front...
One team used internet and social media searches to gauge
interest in the candidate. The other team tweaked an established
forecasting system, which is based on economic data and incumbency,
by also evaluating a candidate’s charisma.
“I did feel, seriously, like an idiot being about the sole person
on the planet, perhaps one or two other research teams, that also
said they think Trump would win [in 2016],” says John Antonakis,
professor of organisational behavior at the University of Lausanne.
Antonakis, together with Philippe Jacquart, professor at Emlyon
business school in France, predicted the election based on the
candidate’s charisma. “I really thought that we had gotten something
fundamentally wrong.”
...
Both groups of researchers say polling, the traditional questioning
of likely voters, faces several hurdles in gaining an accurate picture
of the electorate. They cite several issues, including difficulty in
contacting a representative sample of voters because of the move from
land lines to mobile phones; the fact that responders may not answer
truthfully; and the fact that people who are polled may not vote.
“These are serious statisticians,” Antonakis says of the pollsters,
“but they have a very wicked problem to solve.”
...
(Excerpt) Read more at swissinfo.ch ...
Even the very best models cannot factor in the unknown level of fraud that the democrats will bring to bear.
Even with a correct attitude and a proper desire to search for the truth, its extremely difficult to get a correct result.
All of the social trends that were in place in 2016 which caused people to hide or lie are much stronger in 2020. The Left has made it very dangerous to give your opinion or speak the truth in 2020 America.
Pollsters call me a lot. I answer every one (which puts me on a call list, no doubt). I LIE to them every time. If the MSM doesn’t tell the truth - what obligation do I have, as a common citizen, to tell them the truth?
Satan doesn’t know the future but he always has something up his sleeve.
I’d happily accept a couple million to develop a plausible election fraud model. Likely, it would work as well as all the other predictive models that we’ve reading about. Maybe better.
If you want dazzling graphics, or if you want me to assert, with a poker face, uncertainties of plus/minus 2%, that will cost extra.
I hang up on every pollster. I NEVER answer them.
But then, God always knows what is up Satan's sleeve, however Satan has no idea what is up God's sleeve.
Two example's Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump.
I enjoy messing with them. Remember also, they seek me out, I don’t seek them out.
Its a little bit like voting. Mine is only one voice out of millions, but I still want to feel my opinion and efforts for change matter, even if in a small way.
Yes, I started that way too. But some were so aggressive, so slanted in their questions, and so left-wing, I felt I had to do more.
Its hard to choose.
Thanks.
Works for me...
Let’s hope !!!!
Models smodels ..i say.
A lot of white privilege going on there !!!!!
Uh, they don’t look Swiss to me.
I hadnt noticed...lol
Which two? The one on the left says “Pick Me.”
I fully believe Trump will win a fair election and an honest counting of the votes will show that.
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