Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: ScottinVA

No, that was the previous weekend.

The main cause of the D pickup from 94K to 115K was the continued incoming mail count on Sunday and Monday when most in-person early voting sites were closed on Sunday (a few open, but not many); and *no* in person early voting sites open on Monday.

Both campaigns thought Joe needed upwards of a 300,000 D ballot margin going in to election day to win. He had just 115,000.

Trump won by 112,900 over Hillary in 2016 on 9,502,000 votes; there are already 9,664,126 votes counted early plus today; and the R > D ballot count has already moved from -115,000 to +35,757; a change of more than 150,000.

*That* is why Joe needed a 300,000 D>R ballot count by last night. Didn’t get it.

If (and I said *if*) current trends hold today, Trump may finish with a 250,000 to 300,000 vote margin over Biden in Florida.

How much of that overperformance in 2020 > 2016, if it holds, will translate to other states? That is the question.


90 posted on 11/03/2020 7:56:59 AM PST by Reagan80 ("In this current crisis, government is not the solution to our problems, goverment IS the problem")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]


To: SpeedyInTexas
Turnout from all Early Voting:

Ds - 66.9%
Rs - 66.4%
NPA/Other - 52.6%


Turnout from all Early Voting + Election Day:

D turnout = 70.0%
R turnout = 72.9%

2016 Ds - 74.4%, Rs - 81.2%
91 posted on 11/03/2020 8:01:19 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 90 | View Replies ]

To: Reagan80

56K... not slowing yet.


94 posted on 11/03/2020 8:01:59 AM PST by Tuxedo (Let's Finish This)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 90 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson