Silver says Biden still favored in Flordia - you know because of the Indys.
Yeah throw out all those hispanics in Dade. I hear his site is owned by Disney.
Nate is really hanging in there. I think he knows if he blows it again (haha) his career is over.
With all else even cross voting wise, the current lead will require a 7+% Indie preference against Trump for that concept to work.
They preferred Trump by 4% in 2016.
Does Nate Silver run predictit? WTF is going on, my bets are going the opposite direction of the days events, lol. My bet on FL is down from this morning as Rs cross 200k vote lead.
Guess ol' Nate missed that very recent poll from Iowa (supposedly the "gold standard") where independents broke for Trump by 14 points. One point better than in 2016, when Trump won IA by ~9 pts and FL by ~3 pts.