Posted on 11/03/2020 5:45:18 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 673,828
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 558,412
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 115,416
FL is always close. No worries.
Deep down Nate has to know this is his last day on the job.
Nate Silver is claiming Dems have up to 400k advantage in the early voting bank. Seems everyone can get the spin they want on this.
if he is doing the same thing the other day he is saying only 83% or republicans EV for Trump, 95% Dem for Biden
and something like 62-38 for indies to Biden (or some huge number like that0
I am curious to Nate’s claims about this; where does he get that from?
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I think its from a poll that asked if you were going to vote early or on ED and who you are going to vote for..then he took those percentage and multiplied them by the total EV for each group
not sure if it was from just FL or national
his theory is the people that hate Trump will got vote against him ASAP
So the Indies went +3 Trump last time to +24 Biden this time
no not overall just people that voted early
also don’t hold me to the 62-38 number....Don’t remember the exact ratio
+148444 for the good guys
Is that AZ page from Saguaro accurate or guesstimates?
That's 114,136 outstanding votes in Tampa, and 221,679 outstanding votes in Miami that are not being tracked.
That's potentially 335,815 votes that the Democrats are holding back from reporting.
This is SOP for Democrat election day reporting, to hold back on reporting the largest cities until they know how many votes they need to win.
That's why I don't think we can trust these live numbers right now as being definitive.
-PJ
Republicans up 11k in Hillsborough today in election day vote. Nothing to worry about there.
https://www.votehillsborough.org/2020-Unofficial-Turnout
PA - Philly
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Will Chamberlain
@willchamberlain
I’ve seen a number of polling places here in Philly today
Almost zero lines
Are the Dems actually turning out their voters?
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Jack Posobiec VOTE
@JackPosobiec
30m
I’ve gone to at least a dozen so far in Philly and there haven’t been any long lines since 9am
Indies on track to vote 2.5 million.
That proposed 24% preference would be 600K votes. Not the 400K he is quoting.
Those numbers don’t work.
Got it - so higher absolute voters but on a larger base. Makes sense!
That photo making the rounds of a poll watcher denied entry. That is what caught my attn first. No queue.
I think it is accurate for returned ballots. Just who voted by mail not how.
Miami numbers are being reported.
Just not in the automated fashion for byecomey.
He didn’t want to change his code to input them manually.
Miami numbers had slight D lead today. If I see numbers I’ll post Miami and Hillsborough.
Small D gains. Few thousand I think.
+153K but pace still creeping down
only +4738 last update
“BREAKING: Arizona Dems are so worried seeing Joe Biden’s lead slipping away in key battleground state that they sent out frantic texts to volunteers over weekend to ignore previous COVID precautions & go out “knocking on doors” for Biden—even if canvassers have low-grade fevers”
Kevin McCullough
@KMCRadio
·
“Record turnout for @realDonaldTrump is exceeding 2016 levels in Fla, Tx, NC, PA, SC & GA. @JoeBiden did not come into today with leads as big as needed, & today’s turnout is not matching @HillaryClinton of 2016.”
Wasserman:
“Just in...just got a late-breaking Election Day development you’re going to want to hear. Stay tuned.”
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