Posted on 11/03/2020 5:45:18 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 673,828
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 558,412
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 115,416
NYT not doing “needle” for entire election this year.
you mean the one that started out at Hillary at 93%
see the Young Turks replay on Youtube from election night 2016
as they follow the needle for good laughs
Sumter Reps at 89.2% turnout of their RV.
The remaining 10% are painting their hotrod decked out golf carts before heading down to vote.
Miami Dade
Sorry to perhaps ask a question previously answered, but how can the Dems be within 2.2% of their 2016 turnout, the GOP still be 4.5% away, and yet the GOP ALSO be beating the 2016 benchmark? Is the difference explained by the addition of registered Republicans since 2016?
Sumter is awesome.
Sounds like a win in process...
2016
74.4% of Florida’s 4.908m Democrats voted = 3.65m
81.2% of Florida’s 4.577m Republicans voted = 3.71m
2020 so far
Registered Ds - 5,303,254
Registered Rs - 5,169,102
Ds Voted - 3826941
Rs Voted - 3965052
-PJ
+ 143609 this update
9 county net votes for today not included.
but even at that slower pace still on track for well over +200K
Nate Silver is claiming Dems have up to 400k advantage in the early voting bank. Seems everyone can get the spin they want on this.
+ 143609 this update
I have R’s up +16K last hour
4 more hours at the rate is 64K or +207 at 7pm
without the Panhandle only that close at 8pm (eastern)
then you have the missing counties that will more then offset Miami Dade ED dem gain
byecomey:
“Fair warning and you aren’t going to like it. I’m moving from one location to another around 5:30 PM EST.
Hopefully this move will be short, but expect a couple of updates to be skipped.”
+ 143609 this update
I have R’s up +16K last hour
4 more hours at the rate is 64K or +207 at 7pm
without the Panhandle only that close at 8pm (eastern)
then you have the missing counties that will more then offset Miami Dade ED dem gain
AND, I believe Republicans might even outpace Democrats today in Dade too.
Nate Silver is claiming Dems have up to 400k advantage in the early voting bank. Seems everyone can get the spin they want on this.
if he is doing the same thing the other day he is saying only 83% or republicans EV for Trump, 95% Dem for Biden
and something like 62-38 for indies to Biden (or some huge number like that0
“62-38 for indies to Biden”
Make me laugh.
I am curious to Nate’s claims about this; where does he get that from?
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