[mlo]

"If the GOP-DEM margin reaches 55k, wouldn't that mean Trump is ahead by the margin he won FL by in 2016, assuming voting patterns are the same?"

No. That assumes that party registration always reflects the vote for a candidate. It doesn't. Nobody will know what is in those votes until they are counted.

[traderrob6]

“No. That assumes that party registration always reflects the vote for a candidate.”

It doesn’t but intuition and common sense would tell us that with the Dems further lurch to the left there is a much more likely prospect that Democrats will crossover rather the Republicans.

That advantage could be half a % or 20 percent......Anyones guess.