[CatOwner]

From other posts, the Rep margin in 2016 was 55k so when we reach that the advantage should turn to Trump.

If the GOP-DEM margin reaches 55k, wouldn't that mean Trump is ahead by the margin he won FL by in 2016, assuming voting patterns are the same?

[wfu_deacons]

“If the GOP-DEM margin reaches 55k, wouldn’t that mean Trump is ahead by the margin he won FL by in 2016, assuming voting patterns are the same?”

As I understand the JoeisDone methodology, yes.

[Zeppelin]

There it is, Repubs + 56K!

[mlo]

"If the GOP-DEM margin reaches 55k, wouldn't that mean Trump is ahead by the margin he won FL by in 2016, assuming voting patterns are the same?"

No. That assumes that party registration always reflects the vote for a candidate. It doesn't. Nobody will know what is in those votes until they are counted.