Every four years, the Real Clear Politics Poll Average results compared with the actual election results proves that they are not accurate, not reliable, and not predictive. Yet people still believe them. Don't pay any attention to them.
Don’t blame RCP for being inaccurate. RCP isn’t doing any polling or predicting, just arithmetic. Any inaccuracies come from the polling outfits not RCP. Obviously with inaccurate polling data gives inaccurate poll averages, so the RCP numbers probably aren’t significant.