I went back and read Ralston 2016 prediction.
He said (to paraphrase). No reliable polls say Trump will win Indys vs Clinton. Well exit polls say Trump won by 13 points (from memory).
His current prediction says same thing. No reliable polls say Trump will win Indys vs Biden.
New @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NVpoll conducted 10/31 - 11/2 shows razor thin Trump lead:
49.1% @realDonaldTrump,
48.4 @JoeBiden
1.2% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
0.8% Other,
0.5% Und. See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nv-pres-1102 https://pic.twitter.com/daLnGCdtwN
Within .7%, much tighter than Ralston who puts it Biden plus 4%