Yup, I’m a Nevadan.What Ralston, and everyone else, have no fix on are the crossovers versus 2016. Covid drastically changed Nevada’s economic situation. Is a Hispanic, put out of his casino job by the Covid shutdown, still going to vote D though that is his paty affiliation? Also, I assume Rs know this is a do or literally die election. So I think it is right on the razor’s edge.
I tried to compare Election Eve 2016 vs 2020 for NV.
“IF” I did my calculations correctly, I have
2020: Ds 39.72% - Rs 35.57% ==> Ds +4.15%
2016: Ds 42.00% - Rs 36.20% ==> Ds +5.80%
Trump lost by 2.4%
NV looks like it could be very close.