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Florida Early Vote update, 11/02/2020
ElectionCZAR ^ | 11/02/2020 | self

Posted on 11/02/2020 5:50:51 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas

VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 663,685

In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 555,562

Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 108,123


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida
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To: IVAXMAN

“Bjones1” just signed up today.

Ignore.


201 posted on 11/02/2020 2:03:46 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: janetjanet998

1st update since 3:08

4:48. update

change since 3:08

+368 -7 = R +361

if dem mail in dumps are over for the day

Bay/Gulf counties IPEV will shave off a a few votes every 20 min update for the next 3 hours

dems up 112,163 overall


202 posted on 11/02/2020 2:03:48 PM PST by janetjanet998
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To: Cathi

Yay. I will be watching that for sure. Together those two have fascinating info.


203 posted on 11/02/2020 2:07:58 PM PST by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: All

FL and NC made some good improvements on PredictIT

https://www.predictit.org/

Trumps chances to take FL now 61%. NC really improved in last couple of days. Now 55%. GA continues to look good at 61%.

Just need AZ + 1 of MN/WI/MI/PA.

I’m not sure the Dem voters realize how close Trump is to winning again. I think AZ comes through in the end.

Just 1 more state.


204 posted on 11/02/2020 2:11:45 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

NV. https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054

Ds lead by only 4%, 47k.


205 posted on 11/02/2020 2:15:40 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

WI or MN would be 270 and that’s not enough. There WILL be faithless Electors. Need an extra 4. Maybe NH.


206 posted on 11/02/2020 2:16:15 PM PST by Owen
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Baris and Barnes sound very confident Trump is going to pull it out. The undecideds breaking for Trump everywhere.


207 posted on 11/02/2020 2:19:30 PM PST by EaglesTTT
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To: SpeedyInTexas

What you just said:

Charlie Spiering
@charliespiering
2:07 PM · Nov 2, 2020

“Director of Battleground Strategy Nick Trainer tells reporters that Biden campaign just outlined on a zoom call that said Trump was within one state of winning”


208 posted on 11/02/2020 2:20:23 PM PST by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

“I’m not sure the Dem voters realize how close Trump is to winning again.”

Oh, they realize it. They are now in a full fledged panic. Early voting has been a disaster for them.

Paul Sperry
@paulsperry_
·
19h
DEVELOPING: Former Obama White House counsel Bob Bauer is marshaling an army of 600+ lawyers and 10,000+ volunteers to contest a Trump victory or to block Trump from contesting election results in the event of a razor-thin Biden win


209 posted on 11/02/2020 2:22:37 PM PST by Cathi
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To: plushaye

I say this a lot - but I am so thankful for this thread- it’s kept me more sane than anywhere.


210 posted on 11/02/2020 2:24:49 PM PST by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: Bjones1

1. Scott Rasmussen sold his business quite awhile back. His credibility is no longer valuable as a brand.

2. Welcome to your first day at FR.


211 posted on 11/02/2020 2:30:17 PM PST by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: Ravi

Scott Rasmussen runs Rasmussen Reports widely considered by Republicans to be the most accurate pollster in the business. Hope you are right and he is not.


212 posted on 11/02/2020 2:35:29 PM PST by Bjones1
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To: Bjones1

Most republicans consider Trafalgar, Peoples Pundit/Big Data, Democracy Institute, and Susquehanna to be the most accurate pollsters.


213 posted on 11/02/2020 2:39:20 PM PST by Cathi
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To: Bjones1

No, he left in 2013.

“Rasmussen was the founder of Rasmussen Reports, where he served as pollster and president for 10 years until leaving the company in 2013.[4][9][10] Earlier in his professional life, Rasmussen co-founded the sports network ESPN.[11] After leaving Rasmussen Reports, Rasmussen founded Rasmussen Media Group, working as a political analyst, author, public speaker and columnist.[12][13]”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Rasmussen

If you’re gonna sign up to post crap, at least get yyour facts straight.


214 posted on 11/02/2020 2:39:27 PM PST by sitetest (No longer mostly dead.)
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To: SE Mom

1st day. Nice. Could have guessed. Thanks for the heads up.


215 posted on 11/02/2020 2:42:28 PM PST by Ravi
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To: Bjones1

No reaction newb. Hahahahahaha!


216 posted on 11/02/2020 2:42:48 PM PST by wireman
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To: Cathi

3 Most Accurate Pollsters of Pennsylvania in 2016 Have Trump Winning or Tied in 2020

https://www.toptradeguru.com/news/3-most-accurate-pollsters-of-pennsylvania-in-2016-have-trump-winning-or-tied-in-2020/


217 posted on 11/02/2020 2:44:44 PM PST by Cathi
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To: DaxtonBrown

I tried to compare Election Eve 2016 vs 2020 for NV.

“IF” I did my calculations correctly, I have

2020: Ds 39.72% - Rs 35.57% ==> Ds +4.15%
2016: Ds 42.00% - Rs 36.20% ==> Ds +5.80%

Trump lost by 2.4%

NV looks like it could be very close.


218 posted on 11/02/2020 2:45:44 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: plushaye

Nate Silver said if Trump takes PA, Biden is the underdog.


219 posted on 11/02/2020 2:47:07 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SE Mom

Don’t be surprised is someone who signs up 1 or 2 days before the election on FR is a Dem.

Just saying.


220 posted on 11/02/2020 2:49:38 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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