Posted on 11/02/2020 5:50:51 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 663,685
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 555,562
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 108,123
“Bjones1” just signed up today.
Ignore.
1st update since 3:08
4:48. update
change since 3:08
+368 -7 = R +361
if dem mail in dumps are over for the day
Bay/Gulf counties IPEV will shave off a a few votes every 20 min update for the next 3 hours
dems up 112,163 overall
Yay. I will be watching that for sure. Together those two have fascinating info.
FL and NC made some good improvements on PredictIT
Trumps chances to take FL now 61%. NC really improved in last couple of days. Now 55%. GA continues to look good at 61%.
Just need AZ + 1 of MN/WI/MI/PA.
I’m not sure the Dem voters realize how close Trump is to winning again. I think AZ comes through in the end.
Just 1 more state.
WI or MN would be 270 and that’s not enough. There WILL be faithless Electors. Need an extra 4. Maybe NH.
Baris and Barnes sound very confident Trump is going to pull it out. The undecideds breaking for Trump everywhere.
What you just said:
Charlie Spiering
@charliespiering
2:07 PM · Nov 2, 2020
“Director of Battleground Strategy Nick Trainer tells reporters that Biden campaign just outlined on a zoom call that said Trump was within one state of winning”
“I’m not sure the Dem voters realize how close Trump is to winning again.”
Oh, they realize it. They are now in a full fledged panic. Early voting has been a disaster for them.
Paul Sperry
@paulsperry_
·
19h
DEVELOPING: Former Obama White House counsel Bob Bauer is marshaling an army of 600+ lawyers and 10,000+ volunteers to contest a Trump victory or to block Trump from contesting election results in the event of a razor-thin Biden win
I say this a lot - but I am so thankful for this thread- it’s kept me more sane than anywhere.
1. Scott Rasmussen sold his business quite awhile back. His credibility is no longer valuable as a brand.
2. Welcome to your first day at FR.
Scott Rasmussen runs Rasmussen Reports widely considered by Republicans to be the most accurate pollster in the business. Hope you are right and he is not.
Most republicans consider Trafalgar, Peoples Pundit/Big Data, Democracy Institute, and Susquehanna to be the most accurate pollsters.
No, he left in 2013.
“Rasmussen was the founder of Rasmussen Reports, where he served as pollster and president for 10 years until leaving the company in 2013.[4][9][10] Earlier in his professional life, Rasmussen co-founded the sports network ESPN.[11] After leaving Rasmussen Reports, Rasmussen founded Rasmussen Media Group, working as a political analyst, author, public speaker and columnist.[12][13]”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Rasmussen
If you’re gonna sign up to post crap, at least get yyour facts straight.
1st day. Nice. Could have guessed. Thanks for the heads up.
No reaction newb. Hahahahahaha!
3 Most Accurate Pollsters of Pennsylvania in 2016 Have Trump Winning or Tied in 2020
I tried to compare Election Eve 2016 vs 2020 for NV.
“IF” I did my calculations correctly, I have
2020: Ds 39.72% - Rs 35.57% ==> Ds +4.15%
2016: Ds 42.00% - Rs 36.20% ==> Ds +5.80%
Trump lost by 2.4%
NV looks like it could be very close.
Nate Silver said if Trump takes PA, Biden is the underdog.
Don’t be surprised is someone who signs up 1 or 2 days before the election on FR is a Dem.
Just saying.
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