[SpeedyInTexas]

“do you any data what those numbers were going into election day in 2016 ?”

2016 Registered Ds - 4,905,705
2016 Registered Rs - 4,575,277

2016 D total VBM+IPEV - 2,629,812
2016 R total VBM+IPEV - 2,533,362

D turnout excluding Election Day vote = 53.6%
R turnout excluding Election Day vote = 55.3%

Now the turnout numbers are slightly too high for both sides because the 2016 VBM stats include VBM turned in on election day.

But I think the delta in turnout is in the ballpark heading into the election. R up 1.7 points.

Both sides have higher turnout this year.
Ds are performing better than 2016.

[lilypad]

I just got an alert from the WSJ that says Biden up nationally by 10.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Rs and Ds seem to be at a draw today.

That looks good for us.

[janetjanet998]

assuming these gaps hold

2020
Dems: 64.3%
GOPers: 64.1%

D +.2

2016
D turnout excluding Election Day vote = 53.6%
R turnout excluding Election Day vote = 55.3%

R+ 1.7 in 2016

less republicans vs dems have voted this year so far

Dems are toast