assuming these gaps hold
2020
Dems: 64.3%
GOPers: 64.1%
D +.2
2016
D turnout excluding Election Day vote = 53.6%
R turnout excluding Election Day vote = 55.3%
R+ 1.7 in 2016
less republicans vs dems have voted this year so far
Dems are toast
Are Lee and Duval going to turn around their pre ED performance? Collier was similarly Advantage Biden but has moderated.
5 figure Biden advantage in both Lee and Duval. We are not pleased.
Dems pushed mail-in voting and spread Coronafear because they thought it would benefit them hugely... and, honestly, so did I.
Now their mail-in campaign hasn't given them the margin they expected, and they've actively disincentivized their base from voting on election day.