“do you any data what those numbers were going into election day in 2016 ? so we can get a feel for any Rep cannibalization”
I think I can compute that. Let me track down registered vote count for 2016 and EV counts.
“do you any data what those numbers were going into election day in 2016 ?”
2016 Registered Ds - 4,905,705
2016 Registered Rs - 4,575,277
2016 D total VBM+IPEV - 2,629,812
2016 R total VBM+IPEV - 2,533,362
D turnout excluding Election Day vote = 53.6%
R turnout excluding Election Day vote = 55.3%
Now the turnout numbers are slightly too high for both sides because the 2016 VBM stats include VBM turned in on election day.
But I think the delta in turnout is in the ballpark heading into the election. R up 1.7 points.
Both sides have higher turnout this year.
Ds are performing better than 2016.
10:08 rep eating into the dems mail in lead after the Miami-dade dump
but in trends hold from previous days there should be an uptick in D mail ins in a couple hours
213 -127 R +86 net gain
345 -200 R +145 net gain
344 -171. R +173 net gain
dems up net 2847 on the day