Of course Ralston thinks Biden takes NV. Waiting for his final prediction.
In 2016 he predicted a Clinton 6 point win. Was 2.6.
I think he predicts a much smaller win this time.
I predict, he predicts 3 point Biden win.
“Of course Ralston thinks Biden takes NV. Waiting for his final prediction.
In 2016 he predicted a Clinton 6 point win. Was 2.6.
I think he predicts a much smaller win this time.
I predict, he predicts 3 point Biden win.”
I have been bested by Ralston a couple of times, once on a congressional race (made me look like a fool).
But, and this is a big butt, his analysis projects from 2016 results and assumes there will be essentially zero crossovers. I can’t imagine there won’t be Ds to Rs at a higher rate than Rs to Ds because the lockdown decimated the gaming/convention industry. If what’s left of the union workers in lark County have ANY sense (big IF), they will know Biden means another year of job crushing lockdown.
It was a 2.7% shortfall in 2016. I’m guessing 2020 is .5% one way or the other.