Posted on 11/01/2020 5:51:10 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 653,646
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 558,741
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 94,905
Actually, aren’t IA and WI similar, that if one swings politically, the other swings as well?
Also, strangely and historically, when FL swings one way (left/right), the whole rust belt swings the same way. I haven’t heard a good explanation for this one.
great news...I think that Michigan is going to to well for Trump on Tuesday.
Yes, early voting was going shockingly well in MI, stunning many.
But I bet you didn’t spend the next four years burning it all to the ground. That’s what they did. We need another Trump win. These tactics should never succeed
Larry is so funny. Spoken like a true historian.
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
“Folks, Biteme’s numbers are collapsing faster than the German Army on the Eastern Front.
D talking heads all spinning the “but the polls said, thetefore muh Russia” narrative.”
No argument there.
Yes! Great news from Richard Baris (Big Polls) about late-breakers:
Peoples_Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
“We are also seeing late-breakers going to the president, whom we call “reluctant leaners”, in Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.
They will vote, on Election Day, and the issue will be their wallets.”
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1322968306366750722
Wow. I watched the 45-sec clip in that link I posted above. It’s the Trafalgar guy on Maria Bartiromo’s show saying their polling shows late-breaking voters and undecided are breaking for Trump now. The main reason they’re giving is they don’t want any more SHUTDOWNS. Even the youth voters are saying this. I hadn’t heard much about this being an issue before, but Potus has been hammering that Biden wants to shut down the country.
The messaging working. Got 170K likes on twitter:
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
6h
Biden wants to LOCKDOWN our Country, maybe for years. Crazy! There will be NO LOCKDOWNS. The great American Comeback is underway!!!
An echo chamber of our very own, re late breakers.
Cotto/Gottfried
@CottoGottfried
·
25m
Even with most FL-GOP counties not doing in-person early voting today and the Dems doing souls-to-the-polls, GOPers still are gaining with EV. Incredible, and not unexpected on my end.
Does anyone have the Florida numbers so far today ? I have not seen any updates in this thread recently.
The usual number posters haven’t posted recently.
I saw this from Dem analyst UMichVoter99 (2pm update):
https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1322981454276661249
I see a Rep gain, although he’s saying no Miami-Dade numbers in the update.
I’m just going old-school. Spot-checking counties, Palm Beach, Duval, Manatee, Alachua, Nassau, St. Lucie, Pinellas and a couple of others. It does appear we’re more than holding our own. For example just checked Palm Beach - since ByeComey’s update in the morning, 1586 DEMs and 1,555 REPs have voted (all forms of early voting). How’s that for parity. I’ll take that all day in Palm Beach especially on a Sunday.
Well it all come down to Tuesday and hoping Republicans really come out strong compared to Democrats. Will not be as many people voting Tuesday as a big percentage of the vote already in. I am sure we can make up the 100K shortfall Tuesday (I think Dem turnout Tuesday will be low due to Corona). But we need to win the Independents, at least a small margin, and win some DEM crossovers. If we do it will be a good night :)
Looking better. Just need to hold ground. ;)
That’s the kind of message I like to read!!
Going to be a Red Tuesday.
Democracy Institute came out with 3 polls today. I know, polling, but DI (a British-polling company) pegged 2016 EC for Trump and the Brexit vote (against all the media polling in the opposite direction).
Democracy Institute State Polls:
(per Breitbart)
FLORIDA
Trump 49%
Biden 45%
MINNESOTA
Trump 48%
Biden 46%
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Trump 47%
Biden 43%
Shocker (to me): NH!! I haven’t seen anything giving hope in NH this cycle. NH House races may be affected positively, if this is true. MN is very good too.
Darth Vader had this one (NH)
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