10/31/20: REPs - 3,160,735, DEMs - 3,276,786, lead of 116,051 for DEMs, 39.5% to 38.1%
10/30/20: REPs - 2,966,747, DEMs - 3,130,430, lead of 163,683 for DEMs, 40.0% to 37.9%
10/29/20: REPs - 2,784,101, DEMs - 2,991,015, lead of 206,914 for DEMs, 40.5% to 37.7%
10/28/20: REPs - 2,595,819, DEMs - 2,841,731, lead of 245,912 for DEMs, 41.1% to 37.5%
10/27/20: REPs - 2,383,218, DEMs - 2,685,500, lead of 302,282 for DEMs, 41.8% to 37.0%
10/26/20: REPs - 2,200,418, DEMs - 2,555,072, lead of 354,654 for DEMs, 42.5% to 36.6%
10/25/20: REPs - 2,076,621, DEMs - 2,440,470, lead of 363,849 for DEMs, 42.8% to 36.4%
10/24/20: REPs - 1,899,530, DEMs - 2,289,645, lead of 390,115 for DEMs, 43.3% to 36.0%
10/23/20: REPs - 1,682,849, DEMs - 2,110,366, lead of 427,517 for DEMs, 44.2% to 35.2%
10/22/20: REPs - 1,463,281, DEMs - 1,926,055, lead of 462,774 for DEMs, 45.2% to 34.4%
10/21/20: REPs - 1,221,835, DEMs - 1,708,632, lead of 486,797 for DEMs, 46.5% to 33.2%
10/20/20: REPs - 953,524, DEMs - 1,432,216, lead of 478,692 for DEMs, 47.7% to 31.8%
Our favorite map and spreadsheet:
bycomey’s Florida Map: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
southpaw1’s Florida Spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18U0IkZTXqGPhqWmK4QGtMO25BqR9RPvB5xPjgiCLQbs/edit#gid=0
I still don’t like the Democrat lead.
I want be sure of what is being posted...
The 114k dem lead...
This is based on solely the number of registered d that voted compared to the number of registered r that voted?
It DOESN’T account for the democrats who may have Actually voted r?
“D VBM return rate is 76.0%. Yesterday was 74.4%”
Ds added 1.6 to VBM return rate yesterday.
Projecting out: Sat 1.6, Sun 1.2 + 76.0 = 78.8 for Election Eve when we pin their turnout.
R turnout in 2016 was 81.2% overall.
Rs in Southeast Florida
Palm - 28.39%
Broward - 21.83%
Miami - 31.13%
Rs gained in Palm and Broward percentages.
Miami fell 2 days in a row by small amounts.
I was a loser in my own industry and was thrown out for being a failure.
Now I pretend to be a “guru” in another industry I know nothing about. But a whole lot of rich people fund my failures and help me cover it up...
Who am I?
Answer: Nate Silver
Ping
If 20% of Trump Rally attendees are Democrats, are 20% of these Democrats voting for President Trump?
We’d best hope so!
I have a question that may have already been address in the past on this thread. Regarding the vote by mail numbers, are the numbers just the number of ballots that have been returned by Republicans and Democrats? Or are these the actual votes for the candidates? Where I’m getting at, is the enthusiasm gap is so large between the Republicans for Trump at 94 to 96%, and the enthusiasm gap for Biden runs around the 60 to 65%. There may be a chance that a large number of the vote by mail by the Democrats are not actually votes for Biden. Am I off in this way of thinking?
May family and I are going to the polls this morning in Florida to add some more votes for President Trump!
Inspiration for all...
Michael W. Smith - Sky Spills Over
https://youtu.be/vC-3YrcLurM
...a call to hearts of worship and prayer
D VBM return rate is 77.2%. This morning was 76.0%
R VBM return rate is 76.0%. This morning was 74.6%.
1.2 point gap. Smallest gap so far, he says again.
I don’t know if this is a factor, but you have to pick a party in FL when you register or get FL drivers license.. some people might just register Ind but vote Rep..