[SmokingJoe]

One of the few swingish state poll averages that got it right in 2016.
However the current RCP is still tied, with Trump ahead before this poll.

[Zhang Fei]

[One of the few swingish state poll averages that got it right in 2016.
However the current RCP is still tied, with Trump ahead before this poll. ]

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What worked against Trump among a small segment of conservatives and Republicans in 2016 was the possibility that he might be a liberal in Republican clothing and his Lothario-ness. The first is no longer an issue and the second is less of an issue since he’s proven himself to be a mostly reliable right-winger.

Unfortunately, what we now have is innumeracy working against Trump. As the country with the biggest population in the West, we obviously have the highest number of infected and the highest number of dead, even though the per capita death numbers are lower. And the media is milking this innumeracy for all it’s worth to sway voters. We’ll see if the media’s combined efforts have been successful when the election returns are finalized.