Posted on 10/27/2020 5:55:37 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Understand your North Carolina map is daily update.
Net lead didn’t close much . . . in an entire day?
Yep ballot is burned.
OK thanks.
Does that affect how much we will be able to come back from being down at the end of early voting ?
It dropped from 1.80% Biden advantage to 0.80%, which is great. Not as great as Florida’s 1.50% drop but a good day like yesterday will bring NC to Advantage Trump.
Next goal is to have the yellow team (closet red players) catch the blue team in the red counties.
I first bumped into Ralston in ‘91 when I was working on the Yucca Mountain public relations campaign. I worked for a Democrat pollster, Kent Oram, also a crook but I found that out later. Ralston had all the political people buy his Ralston Report, then he would hobnob with them. It was a form of extortion. I’ve bumped into him a number of times, always bad juju.
The flip I’ve been waiting for the most - Sumter County on the Advantage Map - just happened. There is now officially more R turnout there than in 2016 in overall early voting. Looking forward to Wasserman’s spin.
Now it’s onward to Broward.
I recall a 300K+ number yesterday and still that now, but I see . . . you’re quoting difference from 2016.
Heads up ppl, Wisconsin. Article last night FR from Redstate claimed voter loss in WI of over 100K since 2016, meaning loss of registrations. They concentrate in blue counties.
WI population overall is showing gain over that period.
Odd. Maybe green card influx?
It is a turnout game and the trend is our friend.
Here’s how the daily turnout ratio has progressed since in-person early voting opened in FL (inc. both in-person and mail):
The morning of 10/19, the overall ratio was D/R 1.62
10/19 D/R 1.02
10/20 D/R 1.02
10/21 R/D 1.08
10/22 R/D 1.18
10/23 R/D 1.21
10/24 R/D 1.16
10/25 R/D 1.07
10/26 R/D 1.42
Now D/R is 1.12
If the R/D ratio is 1.19 from here to the end (the average of the last 6 days), then R’s gain 323,520.
Milwaukee has had a significant reduction. We should get a final registration update in WI on Monday. Very static state overall.
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3898413/posts
Redstate guy saying WI has lost registration and the loss is in blue counties. Surprising.
I think we can assume that the data is good.
Sorry if I missed it, but it looks like the vote by mail numbers are falling off significantly. Is that true? Is the Democrat well running dry?
Orange county just flipped to “advantage Trump” on the IPEV screen, becoming the 66th county to do so. It is now down to just Duval coming around.
My usual polling location was not available for EV, so we, reluctantly, had to go to the one of the most heavily blue voting districts in SW Florida.
Despite the polling location being in a totally dem area, I could tell there was definitely and Trump voter presence advantage - including the Hispanic immigrant family in front of me with a GOP voting guide. I was surprised by that.
More anecdotal evidence: A lot of our friends have even not voted yet. I've never seen this magnitude of voters going to the polls. Could get interesting.
noon update
Daily
EV Rep +23697
Mail- Dem +996
Net +Rep 22701
As of now Ds have still gone through more supervoters than we have.
When we are done with supervoters, we move onto the more infrequent ones.
Its all about turnout.
I actually emailed him about an issue.
His response shows his arrogance.
There is a reason his TV show was cancelled.
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