Posted on 10/27/2020 5:55:37 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Hey Speedy, I found a great website with numbers on the Arizona returns that the data crunchers here should look at.
https://www.saguarostrategies.com/arizona-ballot-returns
The worry is that Reps are lagging Dems in early voting. But just doing an eyeball look at the numbers, it looks like Reps just haven’t turned in an expected number of ballots and seem to be holding off. Since the Freeper data crew already have a lot of these types of calculations hardwired, I thought I’d turn it over to you guys and see if you could make some predictions off these numbers.
I am at the Top GOP turnout Poll in MIA!! It has been humming and it is 100 percent Hispanic for the most part!! The DEMS are very concerned!! Obama turned out very few and Harris as I have said for weeks is poison!!’
Spoke with a few Colombian Voters yesterday that changed from Clinton!! That is big concern for Dems...Colombians are historically Dem in South FL!! However, one thing Universally that all these people share is a HATRED of Socialism!!
The Colombians unite with the Venezuelans and Cubans in this regard passionately!! Harris is poison!!
Obama did nothing to help and Biden and Dems have who?? No one!!
Miami is where the Paramount Shift in Hispanic Support will shift the entire state!
“I am on my way to POLL WATCH in MIAMI!!”
Thank you Florida Man. Thank you.
Larry S is best on AZ with Baris...Larry S very confident in AZ for Trump...he was talking about EV in AZ this morning!
Please please please mark a VBM ballot prior to surrendering it. Counties and individual clerks handle them differently. But by and large they simply cancel the return envelope and not the ballot itself. I can see a rat filling blank ones out and a judge ordering them counted even if an audit shows them as canceled.
If Trump carries North of 40 percent Hispanic Vote in FL he wins FL!! Period!
That was a no vote from me and my family. I don’t know anyone interested in that. Should fail easily.
Off to the MIA POLLS....have a good day Ladies and Gentlemen!! Upper 80s and gorgeous here!!
key phrase right there
“Black voters make up 12.4% of all voters so far”
Some quick math.
2016: 69.0% turnout rate of the state’s 1.743m registered blacks. Thats 1.2m. 9,420,039 total votes in 2016.
Approximately 12.7% voted in 2016.
Right now, I’d say Black voters are roughly in line with 2016.
It will fail!
I am cubicle bound and can’t watch videos (well I can watch ‘em for a second or two without the volume on) and can’t do an image capture.
Admittedly I am very nervous about Florida and the election,
but in the second or two I browsed the video in this article from AOL/Meet the Press
At the 00:31 second mark, the POll from NBC/Marist
Latino Voters in Florida
2016:
Clinton: 62%
Trump: 35%
2020
Trump: 50%
Biden: 46%
I listen to what they are saying, but if these numbers are remotely true than than this election is pretty much over.
* I hope everyone sees the same video I am seeing
Yes and a more Black Men are voting Trump in FL!! Okay got to go!
I just want to say I love your energy.
They are beating me to a prediction!
I’ve said 1% Trump win, but I make my final prediction on Election Eve when I see D VBM return rate.
UMichVoter
@umichvoter99
·
3m
same
Quote Tweet
Kevin Cate
@KevinCate
· 10m
I’m concerned about Democratic turnout in Miami-Dade. This is an evergreen concern, but still.
Yes I have been telling Speedy that Trump will pull close to 50 percent of Hispanic Vote in FL!! As long as Trump pulls north of 40 percent of Hispanic Voters in FL he will win period!! 50 percent will portend a 4 to 5 percent Trump win!
Them Colombian women are hot.
Even hotter when they go Republican!
Not a chance Speedy!! Dems final turnout will come in around 75 to 76 percent!
There is not a chance Trump wins by just 1 percent!! You are just WRONG! The number that matters is BACKFILL and you will never understand all the VBM is Election Day in Reverse!!
The Dems will have very low turnout on ED simply!! The YUTS are not coming!! The VBM is the same BS we see each year on Election Night but in advance!!
The Dems are not going to have that ED turnout because of their own Fears!!
Trump will win by min 3 and again until you understand the dynamics of MIAMI DADE you will keep deluding yourself about VBM!!
Bank it...Dems will top at possibly 77 percent turnout more like 75 to 76...GOP is on way to 83 to 84
“I’m concerned about Democratic turnout in Miami-Dade.”
Forget at Wasserman’s Sumter “pro tip”.
This is Speedy’s Pro Tip. If Trump gets 40% of the vote in Miami-Dade, he wins.
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