Posted on 10/25/2020 9:26:05 AM PDT by MAGA2017
I believe President Trump will win. But I do have concerns about some states that could possibly go to Biden. I've been tinkering with the interactive electoral map at https://electoralvotemap.com and at the moment I think the final results could look like this: https://imgur.com/gallery/2rQZmrA
I'm assuming WA, OR, CA and NV will go to Biden. But I'm hoping that NV or OR (if enough people sick of what's been happening Portland) will go for Trump.
I am concerned about MN, WI, IA, NC. I think Trump needs to win two of these states to help ensure victory. What do you think of those four states?
AZ may be lost due to the influx of people from California but it still could go for Trump. But I'll give it to Biden for now.
261 electoral votes for Biden feels generous to me. He's such an awful, corrupt candidate but I'm trying to be cautious here. There will be vote fraud and abuse by Democrats. It's just a question of how much and if they can manage to steal the election in key counties/states.
I'm fairly confident Trump will win MI, PA and FL.
What do you think?
Not worried except for Pennsylvania. Cheating may carry the state for Biden. I am not worried about the others.
I browse some Dem sites and am amazed at the wide spread anger about Sanders. The progressive platform offered by Uncle Mumbles is not getting them on board, the radical libs don’t believe they will actually get anything if Biden is elected.
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Several comments called him a corpse because he is so feeble. Many say they will either vote for Trump in protest or not vote at all.
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It will be interesting so see the Dem results in those Sanders states.
Don’t be concerned. Go vote. Then have a drink.
Far, far more likely they will just not vote. Maybe a few for Biden, a few 3rd party, and a few for Trump.
I am highly concerned.
I hope I’m wrong.
Frankly I’m shocked how people will cover up for the scum with the riots, and excuse and enable it. Never mind I can’t see how anyone has the enthusiasm to vote for a man clearly in dementia.
The riots in particular have me concerned. The enablers go out to vote and win, this proves that soon riots and abuse of anyone opposed will be more the norm. Never mind the very convenient masks they dutifully wear.
Your map shows PA going for Trump. With the amount of fraud in that state, I don’t see a way for Trump to win there. Let’s pray Trump gets NC and WI for the win. (Aside: I have a contact in WI that guarantees the state is all in for Biden. Sad.) Yes, I’m worried so I’m working at the polls, I’ve already voted, and I’ve donated to several candidates.
Trump has good lawyers on his team to fight any fraud.
Stop watching polls. Polls are meaningless now that voting has actually started. Actual votes show a red tsunami rising. Demorat early mail-in advantage in FL and NC are evaporating by the early in-person voting by repubs. Trends show repubs surpassing their totals for 2016, and demorats falling short of their totals. This is a good indicator what will happen in other states. In MI, repubs have actually returned more votes then demorats, another good sign that blows away any poll. By the end of the week, you will see real panic at the DNC.
I think PA is in play because a lot of blue collar folks there. That’s why Trump won in 2016. But like you said fraud is an issue. Hillary neglected WI and MI in 2016. Democrats won’t make the same mistake this time. Trump have a 50/50 chance in winning both NC and AZ.
It seems like the manipulation is already on full display in PA.
North Carolina is a big worry also.
And then there was the closed door session in NV where they rammed through election changes that are grossly unfair.
I’m hoping the big change in the black vote reported by a couple polls turns out to be real. That would change things a whole lot.
The state by state electoral map method is the way one has to look at this. Otherwise it is just top-down wishful thinking.
As shown by your map this election is extremely tight with no room for error. Many states are sort of locked in as red or blue. In those blue states Biden’s faults won’t matter. PA and NC will be tough. If either of those states is lost without picking something else up — game over.
Doooooooooooooooooooooooooomed!
Go out and do something else. Relax. Have a beer. Sitting around worrying about something you have no control over is a recipe for madness.
Going through all the data is a chore. I pay close attention to it and I know who to follow and what to look at.
MN is looking good, my gut says it’s in Trump’s column, but the data is sketchy. The best data we have to watch is in NC and FL.
WI is also looking good. Trump appears to be outperforming his previous numbers there in some traditional Republican areas where he was weaker last time, while maintaining his strength in his strongholds.
IA looks to be firmly in Trump’s column.
NC is one of the states where we have the best data and historical data to compare it to. Looking at that data, things are looking good at the moment. If you want to follow someone here at FR who studies these numbers closely and knows what he’s talking about, follow this guy:
http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/by:bort/index?brevity=full;tab=comments
You can also follow Larry Schweikart on Twitter. Other FReepers worth following for data are Speedyintexas, Ravi, and Byecomey.
He needs to campaign in TX, which is shaky at best. Senator Cornyn is also having trouble with his Democrat opponent, Hegar.
I’ll add the following states to your map, in descending order of certainty:
Iowa 6
Wisconsin 10
Maine 2nd 1
Arizona 11
Nevada 6
Mew Mexico 5
New Hampshire 4
Minnesota 10
For a total of 331
Plus, I think we will pick up a couple more states to put us over 350 - but I have no idea which states.
>350!!!!
I would throw MN in the Red column also!!
You know that every superfluous exclamation point is a vote for Biden, right?
this one
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