Posted on 10/25/2020 6:45:39 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 594,110
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 230,261
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 363,849
PA reported 60% of voting age pop. Not too meaningful for comparison.
Yep
Add NC. If trafalgar is wrong this year, they and Rs will never hear the end of it.
Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NCpoll conducted Oct 20-22 shows a growing Trump lead:
48.8% @realDonaldTrump,
46.0% @JoeBiden,
2.3% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
1.2% all others,
1.7% Und. See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nc-pres-1020/
Nope...more like a touchdown!! the Souls for Polls the Dems were counting on did NOT show Speedy!! Sorry for you!! The GOP crossed 240K so far on a Historically Big Dem Day!! Yet GOP added!! We have upper 80s here in MIA...GOPers do not vote weekends and never have!! The fact we are adding on a DEM big day is a Touchdown not Safety!! GOPers are at the beach not the polls!! We knew this working here!!
Net 5K so far on a Sunday. No idea if that’s good.
358K / 9 days is 40K votes per day to reduce lead to 0.
IPEV ends pre ED? VBM does not, isn’t it postmarked by 8 PM ED?
To get the Dem lead to 90K where it was 2016 ED would be 30K/day from now to ED.
Speedy and all. Thank you for your extraordinary work on this data! In 2016, yours and LS’ incredible work on Florida kept me sane.
And ..... how can a county in Florida named “Liberty” be blue!!!????? ;o)
Pres Support By Those Who Haven’t Voted Yet:
Florida:
Trump: 59%
Biden: 40%
Georgia:
Trump: 54%
Biden: 44%
North Carolina:
Trump: 58%
Biden: 41%
CBS/YouGov / October 23, 2020
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3897078/posts?page=11#11
Dems could have a lead of 100K (VBM + IPEV) going into Election Day, or it could basically be a wash. Either way, I think Trump carries Florida.
Speedy, you know how I feel about polls, young man! But since it’s your thread and I like what the polls show, we’ll allow it. ;-P
No COOP!! No on the Souls for Polls day that is Historically a Big Dem Day!! Speedy is inaccurate. Being in the ground gives you a much better understanding. Today the GOP should be DOWN because this is the DEMS DAY they wait for!
The GOP does not historically come out weekends!! Watch Monday!! But the fact that on the SOULS FOR POLLS DAY where the DEMS should have added not the GOP is actually a touchdown when you look at ENTIRE PICTURE!
On a day here where the BEACH CALLS and you know you can Vote tomorrow and you are not a SOULS FOR POLLS is a big factor in today!
The Dems would have needed a Big Day today and they are NOT having it at all!! The GOP added that is not a SAFETY that is a TOUCHDOWN!
Trump will carry FL no problem!
Interesting
I’m not sure why you’re arguing with me. I think Trump wins FL 51-47.
How is every major city in Texas under Democrat control? Texas ain't as red as it used to be.
66.0% to 62.6% VBM return rate. Getting there.
All we need is a couple of loaded GOP minivans to flip it to red. Dems lead by 14 votes right now.
I’d throw a few bucks in a Gofundme to rent a bus just for that.
You are exactly correct. I’m in Broward but Palm and Miami Dade are moving R. Broward is beyond help but our Chumps will contribute to Trump’s win.
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