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Florida Early Vote update, 10/25/2020
ElectionCZAR ^ | 10/25/2020 | self

Posted on 10/25/2020 6:45:39 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

Florida Update:

VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 594,110

In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 230,261

Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 363,849


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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To: Owen

PA reported 60% of voting age pop. Not too meaningful for comparison.


81 posted on 10/25/2020 9:54:06 AM PDT by Owen
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Yep


82 posted on 10/25/2020 9:56:58 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Add NC. If trafalgar is wrong this year, they and Rs will never hear the end of it.

Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NCpoll conducted Oct 20-22 shows a growing Trump lead:
48.8% @realDonaldTrump,
46.0% @JoeBiden,
2.3% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
1.2% all others,
1.7% Und. See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nc-pres-1020/


83 posted on 10/25/2020 9:58:15 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Nope...more like a touchdown!! the Souls for Polls the Dems were counting on did NOT show Speedy!! Sorry for you!! The GOP crossed 240K so far on a Historically Big Dem Day!! Yet GOP added!! We have upper 80s here in MIA...GOPers do not vote weekends and never have!! The fact we are adding on a DEM big day is a Touchdown not Safety!! GOPers are at the beach not the polls!! We knew this working here!!


84 posted on 10/25/2020 9:59:10 AM PDT by floridalife68 (Love FL and FL Politics)
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To: Coop

Net 5K so far on a Sunday. No idea if that’s good.

358K / 9 days is 40K votes per day to reduce lead to 0.

IPEV ends pre ED? VBM does not, isn’t it postmarked by 8 PM ED?

To get the Dem lead to 90K where it was 2016 ED would be 30K/day from now to ED.


85 posted on 10/25/2020 10:00:14 AM PDT by Owen
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To: SpeedyInTexas; LS

Speedy and all. Thank you for your extraordinary work on this data! In 2016, yours and LS’ incredible work on Florida kept me sane.
And ..... how can a county in Florida named “Liberty” be blue!!!????? ;o)


86 posted on 10/25/2020 10:00:52 AM PDT by Sea2ShiningSea
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Pres Support By Those Who Haven’t Voted Yet:

Florida:
Trump: 59%
Biden: 40%

Georgia:
Trump: 54%
Biden: 44%

North Carolina:
Trump: 58%
Biden: 41%

CBS/YouGov / October 23, 2020


87 posted on 10/25/2020 10:00:52 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: Owen
Off the top of my head the last three weekdays the GOP had about 50K+ IPEV advantage each day, and that was before the final 7 strong GOP counties came online for IPEV yesterday. IPEV end date depends on the county. See here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3897078/posts?page=11#11

Dems could have a lead of 100K (VBM + IPEV) going into Election Day, or it could basically be a wash. Either way, I think Trump carries Florida.

88 posted on 10/25/2020 10:05:18 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Speedy, you know how I feel about polls, young man! But since it’s your thread and I like what the polls show, we’ll allow it. ;-P


89 posted on 10/25/2020 10:06:00 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

No COOP!! No on the Souls for Polls day that is Historically a Big Dem Day!! Speedy is inaccurate. Being in the ground gives you a much better understanding. Today the GOP should be DOWN because this is the DEMS DAY they wait for!

The GOP does not historically come out weekends!! Watch Monday!! But the fact that on the SOULS FOR POLLS DAY where the DEMS should have added not the GOP is actually a touchdown when you look at ENTIRE PICTURE!

On a day here where the BEACH CALLS and you know you can Vote tomorrow and you are not a SOULS FOR POLLS is a big factor in today!

The Dems would have needed a Big Day today and they are NOT having it at all!! The GOP added that is not a SAFETY that is a TOUCHDOWN!


90 posted on 10/25/2020 10:06:23 AM PDT by floridalife68 (Love FL and FL Politics)
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To: Coop

Trump will carry FL no problem!


91 posted on 10/25/2020 10:07:17 AM PDT by floridalife68 (Love FL and FL Politics)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Interesting


92 posted on 10/25/2020 10:08:50 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: floridalife68

I’m not sure why you’re arguing with me. I think Trump wins FL 51-47.


93 posted on 10/25/2020 10:14:10 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Wilhelm Tell
How can “you bet I’ll take your guns” and “I will abolish the oil industry” be ahead in Texas?

How is every major city in Texas under Democrat control? Texas ain't as red as it used to be.

94 posted on 10/25/2020 10:17:00 AM PDT by Drew68
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To: SpeedyInTexas

66.0% to 62.6% VBM return rate. Getting there.


95 posted on 10/25/2020 10:19:51 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Sea2ShiningSea; byecomey; SpeedyInTexas
how can a county in Florida named “Liberty” be blue!!!???

All we need is a couple of loaded GOP minivans to flip it to red. Dems lead by 14 votes right now.

96 posted on 10/25/2020 10:34:31 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

I’d throw a few bucks in a Gofundme to rent a bus just for that.


97 posted on 10/25/2020 10:44:05 AM PDT by byecomey
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To: SpeedyInTexas
𝗢𝗰𝘁. 𝟮𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟭𝟲 • Florida: (Tied) • Pennsylvania: Clinton +5.6 • Michigan: +7 • Wisc: +6.2 • NC: +3.2 𝗧𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆 • Florida: Biden +1.2 • Pennsylvania: +5.1 • Michigan: +7.8 • Wisc: +4.6 • NC: +1.5
98 posted on 10/25/2020 10:56:40 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: FLT-bird

You are exactly correct. I’m in Broward but Palm and Miami Dade are moving R. Broward is beyond help but our Chumps will contribute to Trump’s win.


99 posted on 10/25/2020 10:56:50 AM PDT by rrrod (6)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
𝗢𝗰𝘁. 𝟮𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟭𝟲
• Florida: (Tied)
• Pennsylvania: Clinton +5.6
• Michigan: +7
• Wisc: +6.2
• NC: +3.2

𝗧𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆
• Florida: Biden +1.2
• Pennsylvania: +5.1
• Michigan: +7.8
• Wisc: +4.6
• NC: +1.5

100 posted on 10/25/2020 10:58:03 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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