[CaptainMorgantown]

A 2.3% popular vote lead for Biden would probably mean a close electoral college victory for Trump.

[RandFan]

Anything within 3% is OK.

[Old Retired Army Guy]

That so called lead includes voters from CA, NY & Ill. Take those States out and what would the result look like?

[PapaBear3625]

In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%, and still lost heavily on electoral votes

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

I remember when the current wisdom was if it’s ever less than +4 DEM the GOP would route in that election.

[CWW]

a 2.1% margin is bad for Biden. (IBT/TIPP) is the Trafalger National Poll and it's the most accurate. But here's the key ...

In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.9% and Trump received 206 Electoral Votes.

So at this point, Trump is doing better than he did in 2016 on the popular vote. Thus, the odds are that we will see the same outcome for Electoral College votes.

[CWW]

a 2.1% margin is bad for Biden. (IBT/TIPP) is the Trafalger National Poll and it's the most accurate. But here's the key ...

In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.9% and Trump received 306 Electoral Votes.

So at this point, Trump is doing better than he did in 2016 on the popular vote. Thus, the odds are that we will see the same outcome for Electoral College votes.

[fortheDeclaration]

Trump will win with more electoral college votes then he did in 2016. Biden isn’t leading Trump in anything.