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To: reformedliberal

I don’t have a plan when Biden wins. Hopefully the senate margin is thin enough so that they can’t change the filibuster.

But that has zero to do with the state of the race. I clearly
Do not want Biden and Dems to win. I’m just calling it like I see it.

There is ZERO real evidence to show trump is anywhere close to being in position to win. Rally sizes don’t matter, so called “enthusiasm” doesn’t matter (and Biden has a ton of it btw......not for him personally of course, but there are MANY who hate trump and Repubs so much they are as enthused as any voter could be to vote against trump).

He could win, yes, if he overperforms enough swing state polls but that’s a very very low probability. He’s way down.


51 posted on 10/18/2020 7:38:38 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative

He could win, yes, if he overperforms enough swing state polls but that’s a very very low probability. He’s way down
_______________________________

Just to be sure I’m understanding:

You believe strongly that the individual down-ticket campaigns are being lied to by the Trump Campaign and the RNC internal pollsters?

You do not accept the analysis of our resident vote auditors and the other competitive statiticians posting everywhere, who use very granular models and inputs?

Incidentally, Robert Barnes, who makes a nice side living as a bettor, is betting on Trump in person at all the EU betting shops next week. He made $500k betting on Trump in 2016. Is he making a fool’s bet this time? Are those who follow and emulate being gaslighted?

If there is such a deep wellspring of hatred, why doesn’t it translate to something evident? Personally, I don’t put a lot of stock in either the rioters (who are either paid or just like to break things and hit people) or the hysterics (who are , after all, hysterical/unstable to begin with) as evidence of hatred that will translate to votes. I _do_ think they will manifest votes in deep Blue Enclaves, but that’s popular vote, not Electoral College votes.

If the Senate will flip (even thinly), why would they then not be able to end the filibuster, pack the courts and make sure we become a one-party state for perpetuity?

More importantly, why do you sound as though you aren’t really concerned or not concerned enough to protect your assets, family, self? If you are so deeply pessimistic, why no Plan B? Do you think nothing will change? Or are you just resigned to dystopian America?

I’m sorry to persist. None of what you post seems to make much sense to me. Obviously, you are affected by living in Deep Blue St Louis, although I’ve always thought of Missouri as at least a purple _state_.


53 posted on 10/18/2020 8:31:54 PM PDT by reformedliberal (Make yourself less available.)
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