Posted on 10/18/2020 6:09:44 AM PDT by bort
Don’t see day by day returns but found this:
“According to the latest numbers released by the Secretary of State’s office, 71,056 voters have cast ballots as of around 8:30 a.m. on Tuesday morning. Of these, 46,169 have cast their ballots at early, in-person locations while 24,887 have returned their absentee ballots.”
That would have been Tuesday (Oct 13).
So in the past 5 days:
VBM has gone from 24,887 to 102,004.
IPEV has gone from 46,169 to 82,503.
184k have now voted.
I am still optimistic Trump wins the general election and flips several states, while holding on to all 2016 victory states.
Trump ain't in Carson City today for the seafood!
FYI-——TargetSmart breaks down the “first time” voters in North Carolina. They model the “first time” voters as 44%/42% Democrat/Republican, which is quite a surprise. Probably a combination of Trump’s ground-game and the student drop-off. Shockingly, Republicans may win more first-time voters.
You are correct. 3.8 points.
That’s more “R” than the general EV at large. Which means that by the time ED comes, we likely will see this pool tilting heavily R.
Very surprising indeed
My wife and I went for a leaf-peeping drive in the country along winding and sometimes hair-raising roads in the area of NC west of the Blue Ridge Parkway today. SOLID Trump country...Trump flags, Trump banners, Trump yard signs. (Lots of Dan Forest for Governor material, as well.) NOT ONE Biden sign anywhere, and I mean not one. Didn’t see a Biden sign until we entered larger towns like Burnsville and such. (Asheville, of course; was a Biden sewer.) Shame these mountain areas are sparsely populated, because they are 100% for the President.
Any word out of OH early voting? I know a week ago there were some concerns, but TargetSmart is now claiming that the gap is completely closed and then some.
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/?view_type=State&demo=Modeled%20Party&demo_val=All&state=OH
https://mobile.twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1318000644997853184
One of my VERY best threads on how horribly the DemoKKKrats strategized this.
McSally down only 1 in AZ now.
No. I’ll ask my BOE guy in Montgomery Co tomorrow. MC is a key county in OH. It went Clinton 2x, Gore, Kerry, Obama 2x, Trump.
An R carries OH if he is even close in MC. If he is tied, it’s a big margin. If he wins, like Trump, it’s 9 points.
Last Wed or so I was told that Ds had a 70,000 lead (out of about 140,000 Ds in the county, so they are really voted out already) but that Rs had evened up the dailies.
Here are some top-level numbers from 10/14 (after one week).
Absentee requests have doubled since 2016, and early voting has tripled.
Outside of the “modeling” which does look favorable this morning, fewer new or infrequent voters compared to 2016. Fewer 18 to 29 compared to 2016. That seems to be the hard data which is favorable
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