Majority of Americans Predict Trump Will Win Reelection
Regardless of whom they personally support, 56% of Americans expect Trump to prevail over Biden in the November election, while 40% think Biden will win. Although majorities of partisans think their party's candidate will win, Republicans are more likely to believe Trump will win (90%) than Democrats are to think Biden will (73%). Fifty-six percent of independents predict that Trump will win.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/10/finally_an_accurate_poll.html
There is no penalty for saying one suspects Trump will win. There is a potential penalty for saying you support Trump...how do you know the intentions of the people claiming they are conducting a poll? Could they be instead compiling a list of who to harass? What properties to spray paint “Fascist” on? Whose businesses to burn down? Who to make up stories about to get them fired?