[Lazamataz]

I like Larry, but he has been overly-optimistic in the past, when things didn’t turn out well for conservatives.

True. 2018. However, in his defense, his analysis is more tuned to presidential-election years. It seemed to falter last time, during the off-year election.

I think this coming election is the biggest test of his methodology, which is to analyse registrations and trends, and to note the absence or presence of minority/student support.

I'm inclined to, with hope, lean into believing his analysis.

[LS]

Careful.

I missed the HOUSE in 2018, but was dead on in the SENATE where we indeed flipped (as I predicted) 4 seats.

We came out a net +3 only because many thousand Rs in AZ did not vote for McSally.

So from 2016 (100%+) to 2018 Senate (99%) to the 2018 House (0%) I’m still at 67%!! Try those odds anywhere else.