I’m not throwing in any towel. The new Trump campaign leader is an idiot. He went dark on tv when Biden went big and was defining the candidates. You can’t do that in late summer. I’m not the only one concerned the rest of the GOP went ballistic.
It is true Trump has a great ground game but he abandoned ads to pay for the ground game.
I have to suffer through Biden ads every morning while I watch the local news before heading off to work. I might get a Trump ad once or twice a week, but every day it’s multiple Biden ads within 30 minutes. Pretty mu h every commercial break features one Biden ad.
...He went dark on tv...
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What are the demographics of TV watchers?
What percentage watches TV only?
I have watched online clips only for 12 years, for example. I know no one with a TV subscription and most have no access to OTA TV. (anecdote, not data)
Maybe the ROI for TV ads is low? Maybe the TV nets have made sure to run anti-Trump commentary before and after Trump ads. Maybe TV ads reach either 1) the already committed or 2) those incapable of making a difference.
Or perhaps Trump’s campaign is letting Biden commit himself,which provides fodder for the last 6 weeks after early voting begins. At that point, Biden can’t deny his own words already recorded and played incessantly.
I have admittedly small access to internals, but the limited internal info I have had so far has been in direct contradiction to the poll data.
While my local R candidates who are privy to that internal data are adamant that nothing is *in the bag*, their access so far indicates we have leads (varying size) in all the swing states.
As an aside, I had to change registration due to a move and it was not glitch-free. Township clerks are part-timers and I had to follow up repeatedly. Even then, there is a weird small bit of discrepancy in how my name is presented on the new voter roll. That should not be a problem in a small rural precinct given that my ID and photo and address will match perfectly.
We have no partisan registration in WI, but I am in a majority R precinct and District. The Party is still declaring us *essential*.