The Dornslife Daybreak poll is the one most troubling to me. It is a poll that follows a group daily to get their reactions to the election. In 2016 it was one of the few polls that showed a hidden Trump support that others were missing. It actually had Trump ahead of Hillary just before the election. This time Trump’s support just does not seem to get above 43% while Biden stays consistently above 50%. Now it is still early but not the same as 2016. Mail in ballots will start being returned in a few weeks and the pool of available undecideds will get much smaller by actual Election Day. I wish Trump would push a more positive, “we’re all in this together” narrative that would encourage undecideds to get on board the Trump train. From looking at some of these focus groups in Mich ect. More than one undecided was asking candidates to give them a positive reason to vote for them instead of voting against someone.
Uh-huh.
USC Dornsife election poll that made headlines in 2016 relaunches with changes
The Daybreak Poll got the 2016 presidential election outcome right, but for the wrong reasons.
https://dornsife.usc.edu/news/stories/3295/2020-daybreak-poll-qna-with-jill-darling-survey-director
A poll that was right for the wrong reasons will be relaunched with changes that will make it wrong for the right reasons.
If you are letting your putter go wimpy on political polls, get professional help or develop statistical 'wisdom' but that development can take years and may never come if the acumen is lacking.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3884258/posts?page=64#64
Dornslife Daybreak made major changes to their polling. They double the amount of participants and have more urban participants while cutting back on the rural ones.
Why change a winning formula?
It didn’t work out well for Coke!
Yawn.....
On October 18 RCP had Trump down 46.2 to 39.1.
7.1 POINTS.
These threads are totally useless. Go VOTE.