Posted on 09/04/2020 7:30:22 AM PDT by Red Badger
I know some...................
Rasmussen also has Biden leading 49-45
“Saw Leo Terrel wearing a MAGA hat yesterday on Fox’s Hannity.
LOVED it!!”
That hat was signed by President Trump.
I’m VERY skeptical of the 45% number for Black voters.
As much as I want this to be true, I remember when the stuff came out about Obama and the anti-Christian preacher of his. Blacks who I knew said this was horrible and terrible that Obama’s preacher talked like that, but they still voted Obama (twice).
Abortions of their own generations mean less to them than making sure to vote for the brother. So the Sistah will get the votes this year.
That would be 45% of the maybe 50% of the blacks who vote who are 13% of the population..................
They don’t look at Harris as a ‘sistah’.................
WISCONSIN
CNBC 06/28: Biden +8%
CNBC 08/28: Biden +4%
ARIZONA
CNBC 07/12: Biden +6%
CNBC 08/23: Biden +2%
NORTH CAROLINA
CNBC 07/22: Biden +7%
CNBC 08/23: Biden +1%
FLORIDA
Quinnipiac 07/21: Biden +13%
Quinnipiac 09/01: Biden +3%
PENNSYLVANIA
FOX 07/21: Biden +11%
Rasmussen 08/23: TIED 46-46
Remind me again, which states are the election swing states? Ah, yes... WI, AZ, NC, FL, PA... and MI... and the polling is oddly unchanged in MI, no matter which polling outfit you look at. They differ among each other, but each is almost exactly the same as it was 2 months ago. Their minds are all made up, LOL.
So, among the 6 most crucial states in these last 61 days, the recent trend for them all has been:
TRUMP +4, TRUMP +4, TRUMP +6, TRUMP +10, TRUMP +11... and flat MICH.
Hold your breath waiting for CNN to get around to reporting these polls and the overall trends.
On the M-53 bridge on 23 Mile Road there are often a bunch of huge Trump flag wavers during rush hours. Many Trump signs all over and bumper stickers. Just some anecdotal info from Michigan (north Metro Detroit).
No GOP candidate has touched 15% since 1960, nor 10% in the new millennium.
45% would shatter the entire political spectrum. That's a shift of about 10 million votes, meaning a swing of 20 million votes. That would be enough to swing any election in US history.
Reagan II had a 17m vote differential. Clinton II was 10m but that was a 3-way race where he took less than 50% overall. Obama I was a 10m vote differential.
Wanna know why I think it may be real? Because the MSM is ignoring it completely, rather than trying to "debunk" it. Their behavior almost always reveals the truth, as long as you know how to read their actions.
A week ago, OAN published interview with Bruce Levell, Executive Dir. Trump Diversity Coalition, where he believes that numbers show possible high 20s among black voters and high 30s for hispanics.
Trumps people don’t put out inflated numbers....so if these are close to representative then....
Daily datum points are fickle. The key is the three/five day trends.
Rasmussen does a daily measure. So, they are not “predictive” or “voting” polls. Do not confuse these with election polls.
This poll doesn’t mean that at all. It is dangerous to use it that way.
Approval does not mean “intend to vote for.”
Don’t get me wrong, the trend is fine. But if Trump got 45% of the black vote, this thing will be over before the polls close on the east coast. He needs something like the “high teens” in the percent of black voters.
Press coverage of Democrats should be considered an in-kind donation to a political party.
Yes!..............
What the Dems will do not? Usually they would incite some race riots but that is backfiring big time. The Atlantic story is going to fizzle out too. Time for them to panic!
Personal observation: I don’t go into detail on these things, but I know Scott Rasmussen well. He’s one of the most professional, honest pollsters out there.
If trump received even 30% of the Black vote on November 3rd,
it would be historic.
For all the loud noise to the contrary, he has really done
a number on the Left’s credibility.
l9r
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