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To: SpeedyInTexas
I predict 300,000+ dead by the end of the year. Today, only 109,000.

Austin cases have increased about 50% over the past week. We are expecting the worst is yet to come.

Ooooh! You have got me really scared now!

Of course in all of Travis County you have only had 93 deaths from Coronavirus in the past several months. We had that many in King County where we live before the end of March. The deaths in Travis County peaked weeks ago. So grow up or share your BS with people who won't look it up.

My wife is a retired nurse and department head at multi-level skilled facilities. And I with my crews transported sick people with contagious pathogens to the hospital for 25 years. We both volunteered and were paid for work we did over the years at the Life Care Center in Kirkland Washington. If you know your coronavirus history... that was the first place in this country to have deaths.

Everywhere my wife worked I volunteered. The most important thing that could be done each year was to make sure that the residents and patients got their flu shots. If they didn't, we sometimes lost dozens in bad years.

11 people on the fire department that I retired from tested positive back in March. Two weeks later they all tested negative. Only 1 developed symptoms... they were from his seasonal allergies.

The reason you now have “more cases” is because you have more testing going on. Most people who had it around here had no symptoms and those who did could not get tested anyway. You should probably keep your wildly exaggerated fear mongering to yourself. It is not backed by anything other than nonsense from slanted sources and your own confirmation bias.

112 posted on 06/05/2020 12:05:20 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: fireman15

“You should probably keep your wildly exaggerated fear mongering to yourself. It is not backed by anything other than nonsense from slanted sources and your own confirmation bias.”

I predict 300k dead by the end of the year. Post your prediction and we’ll compare on December 31st.

Here is a good site with various models: https://reichlab.io/covid19-forecast-hub/

Using the median of the models, there will be 130k dead by the end of June. I’d guess around 135,000 as I lean towards the “deadlier” models.


113 posted on 06/05/2020 2:27:16 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: fireman15
The reason you now have “more cases” is because you have more testing going on. Most people who had it around here had no symptoms and those who did could not get tested anyway. You should probably keep your wildly exaggerated fear mongering to yourself. It is not backed by anything other than nonsense from slanted sources and your own confirmation bias.

And don’t forget that a lot of the tests happening now are for antibodies, which detect PRIOR infection, not current. Which means those are the people that had it during the peak period or earlier and weren’t even aware of it.

120 posted on 06/06/2020 11:50:44 AM PDT by Shethink13 (Sthere are 0 electoral votes in the state of denialz)
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