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How To Accelerate The Economic Recovery: Suspending the Payroll Tax Really Would Stimulate the Economy
Townhall ^ | 06/02/2020 | Stephen Moore

Posted on 06/02/2020 8:14:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The recovery stage for our economy is finally here, and now the policy priority has to shift to getting people back on the job and getting businesses up and running. The best incentive to get businesses hiring again and get workers off unemployment is to suspend the payroll tax for the rest of the year.

So far, Congress' "stimulus" plans have cost more than $2.1 trillion on short-term aid to workers, businesses and states, but they haven't stimulated much of anything other than government dependence. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi favors another $3 trillion spending bill that would actually encourage states to keep their economies shut down by paying their bills and incentivizing workers to stay unemployed for many more months by extending unemployment benefits that pay more than a job would. It's no surprise that even though we now have 35 million unemployed workers in America, employers are having a hard time luring workers back to jobs. In 31 states today, welfare and unemployment benefits can pay more than work.

More debt-financed government spending will not stimulate the economy. Many congressional Republicans and Democrats want up to $2 trillion more in government spending on infrastructure, aid to states, Medicaid -- even windmills. President Barack Obama tried "shovel-ready" projects a little more than a decade ago during the last economic crisis, and it created a limp, L-shaped recovery rather than the V-shaped recovery we all hoped for and saw under President Ronald Reagan, who used tax rate cuts and deregulation.

Of all the significant proposals in play right now, the only one that would actually create new hiring rather than discourage it would be the payroll tax suspension through Dec. 31, 2020. Currently, the Social Security and Medicare tax takes roughly 7.5% from a worker's paycheck, with another 7.5% paid by employers -- up to about $130,000 of income. (The self-employed get socked with a full 15% tax on their income -- in addition to income taxes.)

With 1 in 4 people now unemployed, this will help get people back to work and fatten the paychecks of all 150 million U.S. workers. The workers who would benefit the most would be minimum-wage and middle-class workers who pay more payroll than federal income tax. Isn't this what Pelosi wants?

I have heard three spurious complaints about the payroll tax suspension. First, it will hurt the "trust fund" of Social Security and jeopardize benefits paid in the future. No, this plan would provide government bonds to the Social Security Administration, so there would be no adverse effects on benefits paid and promised to seniors. Both the Bush and Obama administrations did this when they temporarily cut the payroll tax.

The second complaint is even dumber. Opponents say this reduction in the worker tax does nothing to help the unemployed. Wrong. It helps the unemployed the best way possible: by creating jobs and higher take-home pay when they do get a job. By reducing the payroll expenses for employers, the cost of hiring more workers falls -- which helps get millions of people back to work.

Some also protest that we cannot afford to suspend the payroll tax because this would lower revenues by about $700 billion. But this plan is one-quarter as expensive as the Pelosi plan, which would not create any net new jobs.

Nearly everything Washington has done until now in response to the pandemic has been to reward people for not working. Now it is time to get back to the idea of making work pay more than staying idle and on the couch. The vast majority of the public wants to earn a paycheck, and they want to get paid an excellent after-tax wage. Polls show that if you ask voters if they'd rather have the next aid package go to mayors, governors and other politicians to spend or have more money directly in their paychecks, 2 in 3 voters prefer the latter -- the payroll tax cut. They have the attitude of Cuba Gooding Jr. in the unforgettable movie "Jerry Maguire": "SHOW ME THE MONEY!"

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Stephen Moore is a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation and an economic consultant with FreedomWorks.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; payrolltax; recovery
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1 posted on 06/02/2020 8:14:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Instant 7.5% raise


2 posted on 06/02/2020 8:15:38 AM PDT by Principled (No one will conquer America, from within or without, until its citizenry are disarmed.)
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To: All

if the rats have to approve it then it won’t happen.


3 posted on 06/02/2020 8:16:11 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: gibsonguy

I don’t know, Obama said he had a phone and a pen. Trump should just do that ! Screw Congress.


4 posted on 06/02/2020 8:37:12 AM PDT by Newbomb Turk
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To: SeekAndFind

At this point stimulus money is flowing to drug dealers.

Floyd couldn’t have afforded to get high except for McConnell’s $600/week handouts.


5 posted on 06/02/2020 8:38:09 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

Social Security shouldn’t be undermined Obama style.


6 posted on 06/02/2020 8:42:15 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

Construction jobs sure did spike in big cities over the past few days.


7 posted on 06/02/2020 8:44:31 AM PDT by bgill (Idiots. CDC site doesn't recommend wearing a mask to protect from COVID-19)
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To: SeekAndFind

The house next door to mine sold in four days.

The house on my street not updated since built in the 1950’s sold in about ten days.

My neighbor at 313 bought a new BMW.

My soon to be new neighbor is building a house with 14-foot tall ceilings.


8 posted on 06/02/2020 8:47:43 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

I like it because it helps people who actually WORK.


9 posted on 06/02/2020 8:49:39 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: Brian Griffin

RE:The house next door to mine sold in four days.

The house on my street not updated since built in the 1950’s sold in about ten days.

____________________________________________

Looks like every blue state retiree is moving to Florida.


10 posted on 06/02/2020 8:53:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: SeekAndFind

Brick and mortar retail and about 10 million retail jobs are doomed unless a special federal tax is placed on online sales.

A rather excessive 20% tax has been proposed in the UK.


11 posted on 06/02/2020 8:54:10 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

The 14-foot ceiling guy is young and from upscale Barrington, IL.

The people next door are young locals.


12 posted on 06/02/2020 8:56:57 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Jim Robinson

ping


13 posted on 06/02/2020 9:03:23 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: SeekAndFind

At noon, the restaurant whose Internet I’m using has only a few customers at the bar.

All outside tables are unused.


14 posted on 06/02/2020 9:04:20 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

All spending begins in the House.
Never happen


15 posted on 06/02/2020 9:05:51 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: SeekAndFind

The economy will not recover until people are vaccinated.

Your doctor and you and the economy need access to vaccines even though they may not all work.

Enough will work well enough for effective herd immunity.

DC needs to realize that it is not business as usual.


16 posted on 06/02/2020 9:09:45 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Zathras

Revenue bills must originate in the House.


17 posted on 06/02/2020 9:10:35 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: SeekAndFind

Stephen Moore is so stupid it hurts


18 posted on 06/02/2020 9:10:51 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: Brian Griffin

BS. COVID IS SO Yesterday.


19 posted on 06/02/2020 9:10:58 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: babble-on

RE: Stephen Moore is so stupid it hurts

Can you elaborate? A one sentence remark like that doesn’t help.


20 posted on 06/02/2020 9:14:18 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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