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Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, new election model predicts
CNN ^ | May 20, 2020 | Matt Egan

Posted on 05/20/2020 12:26:20 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness.

Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.

The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.

The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020election; ballotharvesting; clintonnonnews; clowncar; cnn; cnnfakenews; considerthesource; coronavirus; covid19; delaware; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2020; electionfraud; fakemodels; fakenews; fakepolls; joebiden; joeclowncarbiden; kungflu; mattegan; mediawingofthednc; moogoogaipandemic; oxfordeconomics; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; smearmachine; tds; trump2020; votefrauddatabase; voteharvesting; wuhanvirus
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To: MinorityRepublican

We finally got Drumf now!!! /s


41 posted on 05/20/2020 12:36:54 PM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: MinorityRepublican

People vote incumbents with their wallets. Tens of millions unemployed, a million crushed small businesses, and people months behind in their bills doesn’t make for strong voter support.


42 posted on 05/20/2020 12:36:56 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: The Pack Knight

Slow Joe won’t be the candidate.


43 posted on 05/20/2020 12:37:19 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

LOL they probably polled their newsroom..if Trump is going to lose so badly, why are Dems already talking about impeaching him in 2021..they are already preparing for him to win


44 posted on 05/20/2020 12:37:20 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: MinorityRepublican
The narrative must be clear:

Collect all the statements from Liberals and Democrats DEMANDING President Trump shut down the economy to combat the virus.

It was Democrats who demanded we shut down work places and it's Democrats who are demanding we keep businesses and schools closed.

Make videos and post all the quotes with links.

Ask Democrats and get them on record; 'President Trump wants to re-open America for business. Why do Democrats want to keep people from returning to work?'

45 posted on 05/20/2020 12:37:26 PM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: MinorityRepublican

This is the main reason the chicoms deliberately foisted the virus on the world!


46 posted on 05/20/2020 12:38:00 PM PDT by subterfuge (RIP T.P.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Hey, if polls like these keep Joe in the race, I’m cool.


47 posted on 05/20/2020 12:38:59 PM PDT by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: Trump.Deplorable

There is NO ONE better than Trump to get us out f this mess AND get our companies out of China NO ONE!!! Yesterday he DECIMATED all regulations throughout the entire government agencies this alone will make businesses BOOM!!


48 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:03 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Yeah CNN whose accuracy is 100% wrong all of the time!


49 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:08 PM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: MinorityRepublican

CNBC (leftist ChiCom propaganda) just released their latest poll, over 5400 likely voters from battlegrounds

Who would do a better job handling the economy?

Trump 51%
Sleepy Joe 40%

CNN is fake news full of shit.


50 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:13 PM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

CNBC (leftist ChiCom propaganda) just released their latest poll, over 5400 likely voters from battlegrounds

Who would do a better job handling the economy?

Trump 51%
Sleepy Joe 40%

CNN is fake news full of shit.


51 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:13 PM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

They got a couple gals on their team that look like models too.. I’d trust them more than this ‘prediction’.


52 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:17 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi - Monthly Donors Rock!!!)
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To: MinorityRepublican
The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results...

Nevermind that the model doesn't do pandemics.

Garbage in -- garbage out.

53 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:22 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: MinorityRepublican

But the OxTards forgot to mention the American people aren’t blaming Trump for the economy. They are blaming the China Plague.


54 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:55 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Gay State Conservative

I think they are Wiley Coyote and have triggered the boulder that will drop on their heads.
Get popcorn because it’s going to be riveting to watch.


55 posted on 05/20/2020 12:40:01 PM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Sorry, but Communist News Network cannot be trusted.


56 posted on 05/20/2020 12:40:22 PM PDT by salmon76 (You can vote your way into socialism, but youÂ’ll have to shoot your way out)
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To: madison10

horrendous fraud == demtard mail-in voting cheat scheme


57 posted on 05/20/2020 12:40:40 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
If the election is based on who is best able to bring the economy back to life, President Trump wins in a landslide. All President Trump has to do is drive home the idea: "When we pull out of this covid-19-caused slump, where do you want the economy to go? Back to where What's-His-Name and Biden had the economy when I took over or to the heights that I had taken it?"

Political scientists and economists developing their election models should be aware that old models aren't going to be predictive in the corona virus economy. Other than partisan Democrats, who blames President Trump for the economic downturn?

58 posted on 05/20/2020 12:41:03 PM PDT by CommerceComet (Hillary: A unique blend of arrogance, incompetence, and corruption.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Were they trumpeting this same model when it showed Trump would win with 55% of the vote and declaring the race over? That would have been a landslide not seen for a candidate in decades of either party.

Trump’s floor is the 46% he got last time, not 35%.

And Trump can make Biden’s economic record on China an issue as Biden has supported policies for decades making our economy and our ability to fight pandemics much more fragile and dependent on foreign countries that are hostile to the United States.


59 posted on 05/20/2020 12:41:13 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: CodeToad

Does this analysis purposely leave out that the Blue States are suffering and the Red States are emerging. How competent will the leftists look come Nov?


60 posted on 05/20/2020 12:41:40 PM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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