Posted on 05/14/2020 10:51:42 AM PDT by rhett october
The first stages of reopening haven’t produced a surge in coronavirus cases in most states — at least, not yet.
Yes, but: The reopening process is still in its early stages, so a second wave of infections still remains distinctly possible.
Between the lines: Our chart compares each state's seven-day average of new cases from Monday, and the seven-day average from a week prior, May 4.
Comparing the averages of two weeks helps smooth out a lot of the noise in how states sometimes inconsistently conduct and report tests. The latest average captures the first full week in which some states began to ease some of their lockdown measures. Some of the states that skeptics were most worried about, including Florida and Georgia, haven’t seen the rise in total cases that some experts feared.
So we can say with quite some certainty that between 40 and and mid 40s percent of the country is sad right now, I think.
We just need 55 percent or so to be sane to win.
Saw a “expert” yesterday was talking about uptick in some states
He didn’t want to comment on Georgia.
Almost like it did not fit his facts or agenda, so he just ignored it.
I’m sure this story is more accurate, but there are numerous stories out there talking about how Texas and Georgia are now suffering a huge tidal wave of new cases
They so want a “Second Wave”. You can just see them masturbating while sitting on a park bench
Eying little girls with bad intent and
Snot running down their nose.
The increase is due to more people getting tested... the enemedia scum never bother to mention that fact. Or the lack of deaths...
Good Lord, the media is actually cheerleading for this to happen. Sick bastards.
Truth.
On one hand, the contagious incubation period of SARS-CoV-2 is said to be up to 21 days. So no new cases of COVID-19 is not surprising.
On the other had, if people are safely increasing their exposure to sunlight, increasing their resistance to virus with vitamin D3 by doing so, then we may be in new stage of pandemic in my non-medical opinion.
Corrections, insights welcome.
Total cases is a crappy metric to track as an indicator of whether opening is successful. Because the amount and type of testing changes over time, COVID cases will tend to show an increase as the amount of testing increases or improves in quality. But that increase will read by the lockdown enthusiasts as a “don’t open” indicator when all it means is that more tests are being done.
Hospital admissions for COVID and deaths from COVID are imperfect numbers and can be jimmied some by lockdown enthusiasts but they are much harder to jimmy and much better indicators of whether the curve has been flattened.
If “High Risk” states are seeing fewer cases, are they really high risk? Maybe the risk assessment has been off from the very beginning.
The only bulletproof and tamperproof numbers are week to week total deaths from all causes, 2019 vs 2020.
There is a lag time of several weeks until those numbers are available for the newly opened states.
Just the facts...
Great point!
After all, this is an “Orange Man Bad” election year.
Every damn projection of this damn virus has been BOGUS, biggest HOAX ever hoisted on the American people!! We were told that we needed to shut dow to flatten the curve and not overwhelm the healthcare system NOW these bastards want NO VIRUS at all the American people have been lied to about models, death rates, reasons for shut down SCUM all of them!!
Most data I’ve seen is an incubation period of 2 - 14 days with usual about 5 days.
“Greasy fingers smearing shabby clothes-hey, aqualung”...
Reference to a very dark tune-and very appropriate IMHO...
Media looking for a roadkill like a bunch of vultures...
People in many red counties and states have ignored a lot of the orders since day one. With very mixed results.
My red county is hysterical. Groups of people everywhere you look, and the only distancing is from strangers. People that know each other or are related practice no distancing or mask wearing whatsoever. Ongoing party every day at my next door neighbor’s where there are two teenage girls. Their cars and others come and all day and night. Games in the yard, etc. Adults and teens involved.
146,000 county population, as of yesterday: 51 cases, no deaths.
No correction per se, but 21 days is the outside length. From what I’ve read, the common onset period is 4-7 days.
I’m also reading things that seem to point at something else interesting. The shorter the time before onset, the more serious the case tends to become. The longer until onset, the less serious the case becomes.
Nothing scientific, just anecdotal, like so many things about this virus.
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