Posted on 05/01/2020 7:02:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
On April 23, Illinois's Governor Pritzker proclaimed that "the projections are clear. If we lifted the stay at home order tomorrow, we would see our deaths per day shoot into the thousands by the end of May, and that would last well into the summer." When questioned on what projections those were, Pritzker refused access to the models. Some simple math reveals why.
Pritzker provided no dates or numbers, so let us assume that "thousands" means at least 1,000 and "well into the summer" means at least August 6 (halfway through summer), 67 days from June 1. He said "by the end of May," so tack on a few days for good measure and make it a nice round 70 days. People will still be dying before the end of May and after "well into the summer," and 1,000 is not "thousands." A minimum of 70,000 deaths divided by an (at the time) established 0.5% infection fatality rate (IFR) yields a minimum of 14 million infections with SARS-CoV-2. But Illinois has only 12.6 million residents, and the number gets smaller every year.
What about those deaths during May and in late summer that we have yet to include? A linear buildup through May would average another 15,000 deaths, and a similar decline in late summer would add another 15,000. That is 100,000 total deaths from COVID-19, by Pritzker's projections, which means 20 million infections. Illinois is 7.4 million people short.
Pritzker said "thousands," which means we should expect at least 2,000 per day, doubling that to 40 million infections, short by 27.4 million people. Yale projected that there were close to 29.5 million illegal aliens in the United States. Surely, not all of them are in Illinois.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Lefties don’t seem to be good with numbers in general. Obama and his 57 states is a good example.
leftists math and balanced budgets are signs that math is hard
People generally seek government employment because they’re unemployable elsewhere.
Today begins mandatory mask wearing in illannoy. We’ve been reminded that it is a felony to carry a firearm while masked.
Judging by the traffic in suburban Chicago, the stay at home diktat is being widely ignored.
Mayor Lightintheloafers of Chicago just said masks will be required through summer and possibly fall.
Criminalplinois update for May 1.
For all of those who don’t know Governor Putzker - he is a Multi-Billionaire whose family owns the Hyatt Hotel Chain.
Hyatt has 58 Hotels in China. The Putzker family plans to double their number of hotels in China in the next four years. The Governor makes Many $$Millions off of the Chinese.
Illinois will open when Xi Jinping tells him to open.
J.B.’s math is OK because he’s including Chicago shootings as Covid related.
You fool, you know that you can’t use math on Democrats, they are the party of ‘science’!
He’s going to keep everyone home for Memorial Day? This will be fun to watch.
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