Posted on 04/26/2020 5:28:50 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Researchers at the University of Miami said this week that preliminary tests indicate as many as 221,000 residents of Miami-Dade County may have already been infected by the coronavirus, a rate 20 times greater than the current official tally of infections.
Scientists from the Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center at the university's Miller School of Medicine revealed in a virtual meeting on Friday that a county-wide COVID-19 survey, which followed 1,400 participants over a two-week period, indicated that at least 4.4 percent, and as much as 7.9 percent of the county, could have already contracted the coronavirus.
That is a substantially larger number than the official data set logged by the state of Florida, which on Saturday afternoon had recorded just over 11,000 infections in Miami-Dade County, far and away the most out of any county in the state. Miami-Dade is the most populous county in Florida, with over 2.6 million residents.
The new numbers would also significantly drive down the county's COVID-19 fatality rate, which with 295 deaths officially stands at around two percent. At the upper bound of the researchers' new estimates, the death rate would fall to around 0.1 percent, roughly in line with that of the seasonal flu.
I think it went thru Florida in February and March. As the flu
I think my wife had it in mid February...But we will never know for sure...
Orlando gets six million visitors a month...
Everybody has had it. A tiny, tiny percentage of victims had a bad outcome.>>> that was my actual prayer starting several weeks ago. Thank God for answered prayers. Enough deviant distancing.
Actually when you are on a small sailing vessel and you are newly arrived to a country’s port of entry, the vessel is under quarantine until officially checked into the country. Yellow flag is required.
Check in for an update in May.
Here in the United States, 939,249 confirmed cases, 53,934 deaths.
Hmmmmm... 53,934/939,249 times 100 is what? I get 5.7%, you get around 2% and are pulling for around 0.1%
Show your work, please? I'd love for you to be right...
Show your work, please? I’d love for you to be right...
—
I’m quoting the article. Which I read. I know. Crazy.
*shrug* as an over 65, obese, diabetic, hypertensive, cancer survivor, yes I think that is a better solution than locking everybody up.
If I was allergic to peanuts, I wouldn't demand every peanut farmer plow his crops under, I wouldn't demand no child could ever have a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, I wouldn't demand that no ice cream sundae ever have crushed nuts.
My comorbidities, my problem, and my responsibility to minimize my own risks.
At the nully hacienda we've been hunkered down since 2/3, not just for me, but for my nonagenarian mom as well.
A school child, a twenty something store clerk and a 50 something middle manager have zero to minimal risk. Why are they locked up?
Power and the abuse of power, pure and simple. Our "betters" live for that as surely as a junkie lives for his or her next fix.
Wait. Whut? You read the article????
“For the sake of accurate historical comparisons we should only count the overtly sick. “
The way it has always been done.
It’s never been done any other way.
Its binary. You’re either sick or not.
And CFR is determined with the number of sick in the denominator.
Always. Until now.
that’s why they call it a “case”.
University of Miami....Bwahhahahahahahahahaha!
Heh, try beating FIU next time.
Yup. But I just heard Rush say that all the asymptomatic positives will cut the death rate. *sigh*
I’d take the bet that the states that open back up show almost no upward trend.
“University of Miami says COVID infections in Miami-Dade could be 20x higher than official stats”
Yeah, and monkeys could fly out of my butt.
I think this is somewhat along the lines of that old story where the mice get the idea to bell the cat. Great idea, but how to accomplish it? (Not that I think it’s a great idea to confine everyone who is at highest risk of severe disease.)
In very practical terms, how many people in the US have comorbidities? Obesity, diabetes, asthma, heart disease, etc. Plus, people over age 60. I’m thinking that we’ve already identified a significant chunk of the population who need to be locked up so that millennials (the healthy ones, anyway) can go around their lives as usual. More than half, maybe. Plus, the risk of death increases with age, but is not absent at younger ages. And then, how do you enforce a discriminatory quarantine policy? Test everyone every day, isolate people for 2 weeks before allowing them into the “safe” camp?
And so on. I just don’t think there is a workable way to do it.
The antibody tests have about a 1.4% false positive rate. Be careful about accepting the antibody test results as accurate.
Sweden is widely touted as having controlled Covid-19 without any government interventions. Unfortunately, Sweden has more cases and deaths per one million than its closest neighbors. In the US, we have a sizeable number of people who do not take Covid-19 seriously and who therefore will not follow any recommendations for social distancing. They are the ones who will make sure this pandemic lasts longer than it needs to.
Not the same thing at all, nully.
Come on. You can choose to avoid peanuts.
You cannot choose to avoid someone who is contagious when nobody knows about it.
There's such a thing as simple courtesy, and at this point, wearing a mask to prevent people from spreading it is NOT that big of an imposition. And I don't see that exdemmom is advocating for anything more than that.
At some point we are our brother's keeper.
Texas has 1 of 400 categorized with Covid dying. Why would there be 1 in 20 in other states? This is from the numbers posted last week. Why lie? They also had other health issues. Those that were confirmed are about 1 percent of Texans. There is moey, power, and snake trails attahed to thos virus.
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