Giuliani represented blue collar red NYC, Stateen Island, Marine Park, etc. Conservatives are all over America.
Speaking of Giuliani, where is he? Gone dark?
. For those new to the data, I standardize each municipality's cumulative COVID-19 fatality count per GitHub by its population, then multiply the resulting quotient by the US' population of 329MM to put everyone on a common/US scale. I then index each municipality's time-series to Day 1, where their size-adjusted fatality count is right before it breaches 1,000 people. This corrects for what I call the "Golf Problem" where broadcasts of the Masters etc have to show not only each golfer's score, but which hole they're at. I also list the Day 1 date and the population for reference. I've posted the history back to Day 1 on my About page.
Note for the US as nation, that Day 1 is March 25, which means Day 31 is April 24 for that row of data. You can do the math for the other municipalities to find out what Day XX means for them in calendar times; as a general rule, the last actual data point is the freshest date, but on a Golf timeline it gives each municipality's score as of the "31st hole." The sort order is Day 31 where Day 31 data exist, and then Day 25 for all other municipalities that haven't played their 31st hole.
The international ranking of the US hasn't changed in a long time. Sweden and the Netherland's "hands off" approach hasn't yielded fewer fatalities but they haven't wrecked their economy. We'll see what happens throug the end of the year. Stateside, for Day 31 the municipalities with higher adjusted fatalities than the US as a whole remain New York (Blue), New Jersey (Blue), Connecticut (Blue), Massachusetts (Blue), Michigan (Red), Louisiana (Red) and District of Columbia (Blue), respectively.
While I don't track this data at the city/county level, I built a logistic regression to see if Red/Blue states' (defined by the 2016 Presidential election results) ranking and logged fatality count on Day 25 was different. It depends: the regression with the ranking had an overall p-value of 0.095 but on the logged adjusted fatality count the p-value was a stronger 0.043.
Country | Date of Day 1=day priot to hitting 1,000+ population-adjusted deaths | Population | Day 25 | Day 26 | Day 27 | Day 28 | Day 29 | Day 30 | Day 31 | Day 32 | Day 33 |
San Marino | 3/3/20 | 33,574 | 206,132 | 215,948 | 215,948 | 245,396 | 255,211 | 255,211 | 294,475 | 294,475 | 314,106 |
Andorra | 3/21/20 | 77,543 | 131,749 | 140,249 | 140,249 | 148,749 | 148,749 | 152,999 | 157,249 | 157,249 | 157,249 |
Belgium | 3/19/20 | 11,524,454 | 102,947 | 111,611 | 118,875 | 126,967 | 138,892 | 147,643 | 155,935 | 162,513 | 166,659 |
Spain | 3/13/20 | 47,100,396 | 93,346 | 98,271 | 103,498 | 108,081 | 112,517 | 116,190 | 120,410 | 124,237 | 126,336 |
West Bank and Gaza | 3/25/20 | 11,700 | 56,334 | 84,502 | 84,502 | 112,669 | 112,669 | 112,669 | 112,669 | - | - |
France | 3/18/20 | 67,076,000 | 68,052 | 70,809 | 73,629 | 77,373 | 84,448 | 88,147 | 91,891 | 95,045 | 97,006 |
Italy | 3/5/20 | 60,243,406 | 58,966 | 63,408 | 67,986 | 71,963 | 76,121 | 80,311 | 84,036 | 86,908 | 90,388 |
United Kingdom | 3/20/20 | 66,435,550 | 56,287 | 60,166 | 63,961 | 68,252 | 72,459 | 76,878 | 79,840 | 82,097 | 86,204 |
Ireland | 3/25/20 | 4,921,500 | 38,236 | 40,847 | 46,003 | 48,883 | 51,494 | 53,168 | 67,900 | - | - |
Netherlands | 3/17/20 | 17,451,031 | 47,589 | 50,101 | 51,876 | 53,500 | 55,804 | 59,392 | 62,829 | 65,549 | 68,230 |
Sweden | 3/23/20 | 10,333,456 | 42,512 | 44,649 | 48,189 | 49,114 | 50,390 | 56,290 | 61,775 | 64,454 | 68,632 |
United States | 3/25/20 | 329,556,365 | 38,664 | 40,661 | 42,094 | 44,444 | 46,622 | 49,954 | 51,949 | - | - |
Switzerland | 3/16/20 | 8,586,550 | 36,385 | 38,457 | 39,762 | 42,449 | 43,677 | 45,059 | 47,553 | 49,165 | 50,931 |
Luxembourg | 3/17/20 | 613,894 | 28,989 | 33,283 | 35,431 | 37,041 | 35,968 | 37,041 | 37,041 | 38,652 | 38,652 |
Macedonia | 3/24/20 | 679,600 | 23,761 | 23,761 | 24,731 | 26,186 | 26,671 | 27,156 | 27,156 | 27,641 | - |
Portugal | 3/23/20 | 10,276,617 | 20,171 | 21,069 | 22,031 | 22,897 | 23,570 | 24,436 | 25,174 | 26,296 | 27,387 |
Germany | 3/25/20 | 83,149,300 | 17,673 | 18,176 | 19,270 | 19,948 | 20,923 | 22,096 | 22,829 | - | - |
Denmark | 3/22/20 | 5,822,763 | 17,489 | 18,168 | 19,017 | 19,583 | 20,092 | 20,602 | 20,941 | 21,734 | 22,300 |
Austria | 3/23/20 | 8,902,600 | 15,177 | 15,955 | 16,399 | 16,732 | 17,398 | 18,176 | 18,879 | 19,323 | 19,620 |
Iran | 3/9/20 | 83,331,064 | 12,497 | 13,027 | 13,652 | 14,249 | 14,787 | 15,313 | 15,791 | 16,254 | 16,737 |
Iceland | 3/23/20 | 364,260 | 7,238 | 8,143 | 8,143 | 8,143 | 9,047 | 9,047 | 9,047 | 9,047 | 9,047 |
Cyprus | 3/23/20 | 875,900 | 4,515 | 4,515 | 4,515 | 4,515 | 4,515 | 4,515 | 4,891 | 4,891 | 5,267 |
Municipality | Date of Day 1 = day prior to breaching size-adj 1,000 COVID19 fatalities | Population (MM) | Day 25 | Day 26 | Day 27 | Day 28 | Day 29 | Day 30 | Day 31 | Day 32 | Day 33 | Day 34 |
New York | 3/20/20 | 19,795,791 | 167,410 | 180,362 | 192,881 | 202,970 | 213,458 | 222,448 | 230,888 | 238,846 | 246,854 | 254,745 |
New Jersey | 3/23/20 | 8,958,013 | 129,424 | 141,270 | 149,731 | 154,587 | 161,025 | 174,858 | 186,263 | 197,483 | 206,644 | - |
Connecticut | 3/23/20 | 3,590,886 | 89,114 | 95,080 | 99,668 | 103,431 | 122,154 | 130,597 | 141,702 | 150,421 | 161,892 | - |
Massachusetts | 3/25/20 | 6,794,422 | 75,666 | 82,748 | 87,744 | 95,116 | 105,836 | 114,469 | 123,976 | - | - | - |
Michigan | 3/24/20 | 9,922,576 | 73,932 | 76,622 | 79,345 | 81,903 | 89,608 | 93,394 | 98,874 | 102,428 | - | - |
Louisiana | 3/20/20 | 4,670,724 | 62,373 | 71,475 | 77,825 | 81,565 | 85,587 | 89,397 | 91,443 | 93,701 | 99,134 | 103,932 |
District of Columbia | 3/24/20 | 672,228 | 42,161 | 44,612 | 47,064 | 51,476 | 54,907 | 62,261 | 68,144 | 75,007 | - | - |
United States | 3/25/20 | 329,556,365 | 38,664 | 40,661 | 42,094 | 44,444 | 46,622 | 49,954 | 51,949 | - | - | - |
Colorado | 3/24/20 | 5,456,574 | 23,494 | 24,702 | 25,427 | 27,058 | 29,232 | 31,768 | 33,641 | 40,586 | - | - |
Georgia | 3/23/20 | 10,214,860 | 19,712 | 21,325 | 21,616 | 22,003 | 24,745 | 26,133 | 27,004 | 28,101 | 28,681 | - |
Nevada | 3/24/20 | 2,890,845 | 17,214 | 17,670 | 18,012 | 18,582 | 18,582 | 21,318 | 22,230 | 23,142 | - | - |
Washington | 3/8/20 | 7,170,351 | 11,444 | 12,501 | 13,467 | 14,616 | 15,811 | 17,603 | 18,798 | 19,763 | 20,958 | 22,199 |
Vermont | 3/18/20 | 626,042 | 13,160 | 14,213 | 14,740 | 15,266 | 15,792 | 18,424 | 18,424 | 19,477 | 19,477 | 20,004 |
Rhode Island | 3/29/20 | 1,056,298 | 56,471 | 58,966 | 63,022 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Pennsylvania | 3/28/20 | 12,802,503 | 41,701 | 44,275 | 44,095 | 45,974 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maryland | 3/31/20 | 6,006,401 | 39,669 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Illinois | 3/27/20 | 12,859,995 | 34,826 | 37,902 | 40,413 | 43,463 | 46,230 | - | - | - | - | - |
Indiana | 3/26/20 | 6,619,680 | 27,979 | 28,327 | 31,364 | 32,907 | 35,148 | 36,890 | - | - | - | - |
Delaware | 3/27/20 | 945,934 | 25,084 | 28,568 | 31,007 | 32,052 | 34,839 | - | - | - | - | - |
Mississippi | 3/27/20 | 2,992,333 | 18,613 | 20,154 | 21,256 | 22,137 | 23,018 | - | - | - | - | - |
Ohio | 3/29/20 | 11,614,373 | 17,309 | 18,614 | 19,579 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Florida | 3/29/20 | 20,271,272 | 15,054 | 16,030 | 16,989 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kentucky | 3/30/20 | 4,425,092 | 14,448 | 15,118 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Alabama | 3/31/20 | 4,858,979 | 14,175 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Wisconsin | 3/29/20 | 5,771,337 | 14,104 | 14,675 | 14,961 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Virginia | 3/29/20 | 8,382,993 | 13,720 | 14,742 | 16,236 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Minnesota | 3/31/20 | 5,489,594 | 13,267 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kansas | 3/29/20 | 2,911,641 | 12,564 | 12,677 | 13,243 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Arizona | 3/30/20 | 6,828,065 | 12,404 | 12,935 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Oklahoma | 3/27/20 | 3,911,338 | 12,049 | 13,818 | 14,239 | 15,082 | 15,840 | - | - | - | - | - |
Maine | 3/30/20 | 1,329,328 | 10,908 | 11,652 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
California | 3/27/20 | 39,144,818 | 10,296 | 11,079 | 11,997 | 13,075 | 13,630 | - | - | - | - | - |
Idaho | 3/28/20 | 1,654,930 | 10,156 | 10,753 | 10,753 | 10,753 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tennessee | 3/31/20 | 6,600,299 | 8,987 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
South Carolina | 3/27/20 | 4,896,146 | 8,346 | 9,087 | 9,423 | 10,096 | 10,568 | - | - | - | - | - |
Oregon | 3/27/20 | 4,028,977 | 6,135 | 6,380 | 6,380 | 6,789 | 7,035 | - | - | - | - | - |
North Dakota | 3/29/20 | 756,927 | 6,095 | 6,531 | 6,531 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Arkansas | 3/31/20 | 2,978,204 | 5,201 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Montana | 3/29/20 | 1,032,949 | 4,467 | 4,467 | 4,467 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |