Posted on 04/18/2020 2:06:04 PM PDT by Enterprise
REMEMBER: WHO leader, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, fomented a global panic when he claimed the COVID-19 had a 3.4% mortality rate and then compared that number to the annual estimated seasonal flu mortality rate of 0.1%.
A report by Justin Silverman and Alex Washberne on COVID-19 and featured in The Economist earlier this week found that the coronvirus is widespread in the US. The authors argue that 28 million Americans have or have had the coronavirus. If this study is accurate then the mortality rate of the coronavirus is 0.1%.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
“this is not the flu”... You’re right, the flu has magically disappeared off the face of the Earth.
Yeah?
Say, didn’t DeBlasio just this week, pluck 3,700 additional coronavirus deaths out of his butt and backdate it?
Talk about totally made up figures.
I’d believe the Chinese figures before I believe any figures coming out of New York.
I like the WHO. The band that is.
From Wikipedia:
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that from April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, there were 60.8 million cases, 274,000 hospitalizations, and 12,469 deaths (range: 8,86818,306) in the United States due to the virus.[117]
We now have almost 3 times as many deaths in one month. And this from an infected population that could be 5,000,000 but is very unlikely to exceed 10,000,000. Way less than the Swine Flu count of 60,000,000.
You are making an apples and oranges comparison. The Coronavirus is much, much worse than the Swine Flu.
We hardly noticed the Swine Flu. It was a blip.
“Agree actions to date have been unprecedented, but necessary IMO.”
I respect your opinion but I strongly disagree. All one needs to do is look at countries like Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, and a few others to see that you don’t need to close down society to solve this. Yes, maybe they had a few more deaths (but not overwhelming), but how many deaths will end up with from the stress of people with no jobs, suicide or other fatalities because they can no longer work or put food on their table?
We had 60,000,000 cases of H1N1 in 2009-2010 and never a whiff at this extreme, over-the-top shutdown. We lose upwards of 70,000 a year to flu each year, but no shutdown. I don’t get it.
I don't post false stuff here - like you just did. Over 2k dead yesterday.
Where are you getting your so called information
Because you're dumb and don't like what you read, doesn't mean it's wrong. The info is only "so-called" in your tiny brain.
Your panick says you have been listening to XiNN too much
I NEVER "panick" (sic) anymore, but you spell and write like a retard.
Hoft got one thing wrong.
Fauci was not duped;
He is complicit.
Ok, so where are your numbers?
Can we put Schiff in there, too?
WOW! You’re more of a thin skinned b.tch than me!!
And that’s hard :)
And you cry and whine more than me. Which again is Hard! :)
But I know my flaws.
Denial ain’t just a river in Egypt bro
ciao!
You might be seeing a faster drop off this year thanks to the lock downs. But it was already on the way out.
In this chart you can see the flu season for multiple years. Notice the 3 peaks in red for this year. First peak is Flu type B, second peak is flu type A, third peak is Coronavirus.
However the drop off in this year almost certainly reflects a lag in reporting. That apparent drop off isn't real and will appear to move to the right as the reporting comes in. It happens every year. Saw a time lapse video of the drop off moving to the right.
You might be seeing a faster drop off this year thanks to the lock downs. But it was already on the way out.
In this chart you can see the flu season for multiple years. Notice the 3 peaks in red for this year. First peak is Flu type B, second peak is flu type A, third peak is Coronavirus.
However the drop off in this year almost certainly reflects a lag in reporting. That apparent drop off isn't real and will appear to move to the right as the reporting comes in. It happens every year. Saw a time lapse video of the drop off moving to the right.
I didn’t see a single fact in his post.
I saw propaganda and estimates based on greatly flawed data.
No it is not going to deflate drastically. and here is why. New York State has experienced 17,671 deaths so far and neither the numbe of new cases nor the number of new daily deaths are dropping appreciably if at all. If the real fatality rate were 0.2% or roughly twice what the seasonal flu is that would mean 8.8 million people in New York would have been exposed and infected. That would be 45% of the states population and if that large a portion of the population were infected we should already be seeing new cases tailing off dramatically, especially in New York City where the bulk of the cases and deaths have been and hence number of presummably infected would be if the fatality rate really were 0.2%. Go do the math yourself if you don’t believe me. 3.4% might be too high for the world but I doubt it since it is currently 9.8% across Europe and higher in wester Europe than eastern.
Well, I'm not a slowwwwww, drug-addled, shut-in on Staten Island - posting on FR 50,000 times a day - at the top of nearly every damn thread - annoying the living fk out of everyone.
Seriously, you sound like in addition to everything else you're on, you suck nitrous oxide while you're here with us. You might need to forgo a few things if you're able.
How can you put any amount of faith in their numbers?
When enough people in the United States have been tested the mortality rate will plummet. If you want to play with numbers, look at Mariposa County in California with zero infections and zero deaths. At any rate of testing, the rate is zero per. Or you can look at those states which have less than a thousand deaths. When enough people are tested, the mortality rate is going to diminish to minimal numbers.
If you use the data the fatality rate is currently 5.4%. You are the one who wants to use a model to get it down to 0.2%. The Germans were able to do an excellent job of tracing their earliest cluster which began on Jan 19. Of the 16 people infected all were hospitalized and observed and only one of them remained asymptomatic. The rest all showed symptoms. Now maybe they were not all severe symptoms but the idea that literally millions of people could have contracted this thing and never noticed is simply nutso beyong belief.
Answer : You can't.
We'll have the 60,000 in another week or so, and that's *WITH* the lockdown. Without the lockdown, this thing would already be in the hundreds of thousands, if not millions.
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